Money

Ranking the Credit Ratings of Major Economies

Published

2 years ago

November 14, 2023

Marcus Lu

Graphics & Design

Jennifer West

Ranking the Credit Ratings of Major Economies

Country credit ratings assess the likelihood that a country will default on its debts, and are determined by international rating agencies like Standard & Poor’s (S&P), Moody’s, and Fitch Ratings.

Generally speaking, a higher rating results in lower borrowing costs for the country, while lower ratings can increase costs or even limit access to capital.

This graphic from The Hinrich Foundation shows the credit worthiness of 28 major economies, using an index of ratings from the three agencies mentioned above (S&P, Moody’s, Fitch).

The analysis comes from the 2023 Sustainable Trade Index (STI), which the Hinrich Foundation produced in collaboration with the IMD World Competitiveness Center.

Data Overview

To produce the STI’s credit rating metric, ratings from S&P, Moody’s, and Fitch were converted to a numerical score and averaged for each economy, with a range of 0-60 (60 being the highest). All data are as of 2022.

Rank	Economy	Index Value
1	🇦🇺 Australia	60
1	🇸🇬 Singapore	60
3	🇨🇦 Canada	59
3	🇺🇸 United States	59
5	🇳🇿 New Zealand	57
6	🇹🇼 Taiwan	54
7	🇭🇰 Hong Kong	53
7	🇰🇷 South Korea	53
9	🇬🇧 United Kingdom	52
10	🇨🇳 China	48
11	🇯🇵 Japan	47
12	🇨🇱 Chile	45
13	🇲🇾 Malaysia	41
14	🇵🇪 Peru	39
14	🇹🇭 Thailand	39
16	🇵🇭 Philippines	37
17	🇮🇩 Indonesia	36
17	🇲🇽 Mexico	36
19	🇮🇳 India	33
20	🇻🇳 Vietnam	26
21	🇧🇩 Bangladesh	24
22	🇰🇭 Cambodia	18
23	🇵🇬 Papua New Guinea	17
24	🇪🇨 Ecuador	12
25	🇵🇰 Pakistan	8
26	🇱🇦 Laos	6
27	🇱🇰 Sri Lanka	4
28	🇷🇺 Russia	1

Countries with advanced economies and stable political structures typically receive the highest credit ratings, but this is always subject to change. For example, in August 2023, Fitch Ratings announced it had downgraded the U.S. to an AA+ from AAA (the highest possible).

From Fitch’s press release:

The rating downgrade of the U.S. reflects the expected fiscal deterioration over the next three years, a high and growing general government debt burden, and the erosion of governance relative to ‘AA’ and ‘AAA’ rated peers over the last two decades that has manifested in repeated debt limit standoffs and last-minute resolutions.

Speaking of downgrades, one country that has received numerous in recent years is Russia, due to sanctions it faces as a result of the prolonged invasion of Ukraine. For example, S&P reduced Russia’s sovereign credit rating to a CCC-, which implies a default is imminent in the near future.

Explore the Sustainable Trade Index

This infographic was just a preview of what the Sustainable Trade Index has to offer. To learn more, visit The Hinrich Foundation, where you can download additional resources including the entire report for free.