Mining

How to Avoid Common Mistakes With Mining Stocks (Part 5: Funding Strength)

Published

3 months ago

February 19, 2021

| 22,789 views

Nicholas LePan

A mining company’s past projects and funding strength are interlinked, and can provide clues as to its potential success.

A good track record can provide better opportunities to raise capital, but the company must still ensure it times its financing with the market, protects its shareholders, and demonstrates value creation from the funding it receives.

Part 5: The Role of Funding Strength

We’ve partnered with Eclipse Gold Mining on an infographic series to show you how to avoid common mistakes when evaluating and investing in mining exploration stocks.

Part 5 of the series highlights six things to keep in mind when analyzing a company’s project history and funding ability.

Funding Strength

View all five parts of the series:

1. Common mistakes made with the team
2. Common mistakes made with the business plan
3. Common mistakes with the jurisdiction of the project
4. Common mistakes with the project and technical risks
5. Common mistakes with raising money

Part 5: Raising Capital and Funding Strength

So what must investors evaluate when it comes to funding strength?

Here are six important areas to cover.

1. Past Project Success: Veteran vs. Recruit

A history of success in mining helps to attract capital from knowledgeable investors. Having an experienced team provides confidence and opens up opportunities to raise additional capital on more favorable terms.

Veteran:

A team with past experience and success in similar projects
A history of past projects creating value for shareholders
A clear understanding of the building blocks of a successful project

A company with successful past projects instills confidence in investors and indicates the company knows how to make future projects successful, as well.

2. Well-balanced Financing: Shareholder Friendly vs. Banker Friendly

Companies need to balance between large investors and protecting retail shareholders. Management with skin in the game ensures they find a balance between serving the interests of both of these unique groups.

Shareholder Friendly:

Clear communication with shareholders regarding the company’s financing plans
High levels of insider ownership ensures management has faith in the company’s direction, and is less likely to make decisions which hurt shareholders
Share dilution is done in a limited capacity and only when it helps finance new projects that will create more value for shareholders

Mining companies need to find a balance between keeping their current shareholders happy while also offering attractive financing options to attract further investors.

3. A Liquid Stock: Hot Spot vs. Ghost Town

Lack of liquidity in a stock can be a major problem when it comes to attracting investment. It can limit investments from bigger players like funds and savvy investors. Investors prefer liquid stocks that are easily traded, as this allows them to capitalize on market trends.

Hot Spot:

A liquid stock ensures shareholders are able to buy and sell shares at their expected price
More liquid stocks often trade at better valuations than their illiquid counterparts
High liquidity can help avoid price crashes during times of market instability

Liquidity makes all the difference when it comes to attracting investors and ensuring they’re comfortable holding a company’s stock.

4. Timing the Market: On Time vs. Too Late or Too Early

Raising capital at the wrong time can result in little interest from investors. Companies in tune with market cycles can raise capital to capture rising interest in the commodity they’re mining.

Being On Time:

Raising capital near the start of a commodity’s bull market can attract interest from speculators looking to capitalize on price trends
If timed well, the attention around a commodity can attract investors
Well-timed financing will instill confidence in shareholders, who will be more likely to hold onto their stock
Raising capital at the right time during bull markets is less expensive for the company and reduces risk for investors

Companies need to time when they raise capital in order to maximize the amount raised.

5. Where is the Money Going? Money Well Spent vs. Well Wasted

How a company spends its money plays a crucial role in whether the company is generating more value or just keeping the lights on. Investors should always try to determine if management is simply in it for a quick buck, or if they truly believe in their projects and the quality of the ore the company is mining.

Money Well Spent:

Raised capital goes towards expanding projects and operations
Efficient use of capital can increase revenue and keep shareholders happy with dividend hikes and share buybacks
By showing tangible results from previous investments, a company can more easily raise capital in the future

Raised capital needs to be allocated wisely in order to support projects and generate value for shareholders.

6. Additional Capital: Back for More vs. Tapped Out

Mining is a capital intensive process, and unless the company has access to a treasure trove, funding is crucial to advancing any project. Companies that demonstrate consistency in their ability to create value at every stage will find it easier to raise capital when it’s necessary.

Back For More:

Raise more capital when necessary to fund further development on a project
Able to show the value they generated from previous funding when looking to raise capital a second time
Attract future shareholders easily by treating current shareholders well

Every mining project requires numerous financings. However, if management proves they spend capital in a way that creates value, investors will likely offer more funding during difficult or unexpected times.

Wealth Creation and Funding Strength

Mining companies that develop significant assets can create massive amounts of wealth, but often the company will not see cash flow for years. This is why it is so important to have funding strength: an ability to raise capital and build value to harvest later.

It is a challenging process to build a mining company, but management that has the ability to treat their shareholders and raise money can see their dreams built.

Related Topics:investing gold stocks junior mining

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Mining

How the World’s Top Gold Mining Stocks Performed in 2020

The GDX is an ETF that tracks the performance of the top gold mining stocks. How did the GDX and its constituents perform in 2020?

Published

3 months ago

February 11, 2021

Niccolo Conte

GDX and Top Gold Mining Stocks Performance 2020

How Top Gold Mining Stocks Performed in 2020

Gold mining stocks and the GDX saw strong returns in 2020 as gold was one of the most resilient and best performing assets in a highly volatile year.

But picking gold mining stocks isn’t easy, as each company has a variety of individual projects and risks worth assessing. This is why the GDX (VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF), is one of the most popular methods investors choose to get exposure to players in the gold mining industry.

While the GDX and gold miners can generally offer leveraged upside compared to gold during bull markets, in 2020 the GDX returned 23%, just a couple of points shy from spot gold’s 25.1% return.

This graphic compares the returns of gold, the GDX, and the best and worst performing gold mining equities in the index.

Understanding the GDX ETF and its Value

The GDX is one of many index ETFs created by investment management firm VanEck and offers exposure to 52 of the top gold mining stocks.

It provides a straightforward way to invest in the largest names in the gold mining industry, while cutting down on some of the individual risks that many mining companies are exposed to. The GDX is VanEck’s largest and most popular ETF averaging ~$25M in volume every day, with the largest amount of total net assets at $15.3B.

In terms of its holdings, the GDX attempts to replicate the returns of the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index (GDM), which tracks the overall performance of companies in the gold mining industry.

How the Largest Gold Miners Performed in 2020

As a market-cap weighted ETF, the GDX allocates more assets towards constituents with a higher market cap, resulting in larger gold mining companies making up more of the index’s holdings.

This results in the five largest companies in the GDX making up 39.5% of the index’s holdings, and the top 10 making up 59.3%.

An equally-weighted index of the top five GDX constituents returned 27.3% for the year, outperforming gold and the index by a few points. Meanwhile, an equally-weighted index of the top 10 constituents significantly underperformed, only returning 18.4%.

Newmont was the only company of the top five which outperformed gold and the overall index, returning 37.8% for the year. Wheaton Precious Metals (40.3%) and Kinross Gold (54.9%) were the only other companies in the top 10 that managed to outperform.

Kinross Gold was the best performer among the top constituents largely due to its strong Q3 results, where the company generated significant free cash flow while quadrupling reported net earnings. Along with these positive results, the company also announced its expectation to increase gold production by 20% over the next three years.

The Best and Worst Performers in 2020

Among the best and worst performers of the GDX, it was the smaller-sized companies in the bottom half of the ranking which either significantly over- or underperformed.

K92 Mining’s record gold production from their Kainantu gold mine, along with a significant resource increase at their high-grade Kora deposit nearby saw a return of 164.2%, with the company graduating from the TSX-V to the TSX at the end of 2020.

Four of the five worst performers for 2020 were Australian mining companies as the country entered its first recession in 30 years after severe COVID-19 lockdowns and restrictions. Bushfires early in the year disrupted shipments from Newcrest’s Cadia mine, and rising tensions with China (Australia’s largest trading partner) also contributed to double-digit drawdowns for some Australian gold miners.

The worst performer and last-ranked company in the index, Resolute Mining (-36.9%), had further disruptions in H2’2020 at their Syama gold mine in Mali. The military coup and resignation of Mali’s president Ibrahim Keïta in August was followed by unionized workers threatening strikes in September, slowing operations at Syama gold mine. Outright strikes eventually occurred before year’s end.

How Gold Mining Stocks are Chosen for the GDX

There are some ground rules which dictate how the index is weighted to ensure the GDM and GDX properly reflect the gold mining industry.

Along with the rules on the index’s weighting, there are company-specific requirements for inclusion into the GDM, and as a result the GDX:

Derive >50% of revenues from gold mining and related activities
Market capitalization >$750M
Average daily volume >50,000 shares over the past three months
Average daily value traded >$1M over the past three months

Gold mining stocks already in the index have some leeway regarding these requirements, and ultimately inclusion or exclusion from the index us up to the Index Administrator.

What 2021 Will Bring for Gold Mining Stocks

The GDX has had a muted start to the new year, with the index at -2.3% as it has mostly followed spot gold’s price.

Gold and gold mining stocks cooled off significantly following their strong rally Q1-Q3’2020, as positive developments regarding the COVID-19 vaccine have resulted in a stronger-than-expected U.S. dollar and a rise in treasury yields.

This being said, the arrival of new monetary stimulus in the U.S. could spur inflation-fearing investors towards gold and gold mining stocks as the year progresses.

Mining

Listing Requirements: From Junior Explorer to Global Mining Company

The journey from a junior miner to a global company is a long route that requires a lot of money. This infographic outlines the listing requirements mining companies must meet when raising capital for each stage of a mineral deposit, from discovery to production.

Published

3 months ago

February 10, 2021

Nicholas LePan

Making it to the Top: Listing Requirements From Junior Explorer to Global Mining Company

Only a few companies ever meet the listing requirements of global stock exchanges, but the effort to list can be worth it.

In 2019, Newmont produced 6.3 million ounces of gold and earned a net income of $2.9B and returned $1.4B to shareholders in dividends.

This infographic from Corvus Gold looks at the requirements and stages a mining company could face along its journey from a mineral prospect to a global mining company.

The Odds of Discovery

There are 510 million km² (196,900,000 square miles) on the surface of the Earth and the crust is on average 40 kilometers thick (24 miles). Somewhere in there lie the next deposits of gold.

Mineral exploration companies use drill bits that range in diameter from 76-320 millimeters to explore the subsurface. The deepest drill hole is the Kola Superdeep Borehole which measured 12.2 kilometers (7.6 miles). However, most mineral exploration companies rarely drill longer than a kilometer.

Finding a gold deposit, let alone an economic one is akin to using a hair to find a needle in the proverbial haystack. To mitigate this, a typical junior mining company improves its odds by building a portfolio of properties that show potential through hints of gold and other minerals revealed from surface sampling, aerial magnetic surveys, and historic data.

Then, to dig even deeper, a company can raise capital privately for the properties that show potential. Valuations of these mineral properties are largely subjective and difficult to establish. But if the company would like to raise further capital for more expensive exploration, it can tap into stock exchanges.

Canada’s Toronto (TSX) and Venture Stock Exchanges (TSXV) sit at the center of global mining finance. Over the past five years, companies listed on TSX and TSXV completed 53% of all global mining financings, amounting to $44 billion through 6,500 transactions.

Even an idiot can make a great discovery and drive a stock from three cents to three bucks, and those guys wouldn’t get funded privately. It has to be public.
– Ross Beaty, Founder, Chairman Equinox Gold

Risk Capital: TSX-V Listing Requirements

In 2020, there were 606 companies on the TSXV that have a gold property, or a property that showed potential to host a gold deposit. These companies met a minimum set of requirements to access public markets for further funding.

At this stage, a listed mining company will deploy capital to conduct geological sampling and drilling to produce technical studies that could improve the confidence of the presence of a mineable gold deposit.

If this round of work results in an improved understanding of a gold property, a company can move from Tier 2 to Tier 1 on the TSXV, allowing it to raise further capital to increase the scope of technical and economic studies.

TSX Venture Listing Requirements:

	TSXV Tier 1	TSXV Tier 2
Property Requirements	Material interest in a Tier 1 property*	Significant interest in a qualifying property or, a right to earn a significant interest in a qualifying property Evidence of $100,000 of exploration expenditures on the property in the past three years
Recommended Work Program	$500,000	$100,000 to $200,000
Working Capital	Business plan or work program $200,000 in unallocated funds	Adequate working capital to carry out work program or execute business plan for 12 months following listing $100,000 in unallocated funds
Net Tangible Assets	$2,000,000	No requirement
Capital Structure	Public float of 1,000,000 shares 250 public shareholders amounting to 20% of issued and outstanding shares	Public float of 500,000 shares 200 public shareholders each holding a board lot and having no resale restrictions on their shares 20% of issued and outstanding shares in the hands of public shareholders
Management and Board	Management and board with technical and adequate experience in mining
Sponsorship	Sponsor may not be required
Other Criteria	A geological report recommending work program

Source: TMX. Figures are in CDN. *Property has a current inferred mineral resource, NI 43-101 compliant

At this point, a company should have a good understanding of the costs and methods to produce a profitable operation or the value of a resource. However, early investors take their profits and new ones are needed to take a mineral property to a mining operation.

One drill hole changes the game. It’s very hard to decide who gets to make it and who doesn’t. It’s a big gate, and yet very few make it through. But you have to let them try.
– Lukas Lundin, Chairman, Lundin Group

Financing Growth: TSX Listing Requirements

To develop and construct a mine, mining companies require larger amounts for development and construction, which requires a different class of investor and stricter requirements.

In 2020, there were 133 gold companies listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange, whose primary metal production is gold and/or own a gold property. These companies meet or exceed a set of listing requirements set out by the exchange.

The TSX has three categories of listing for mining issuers: TSX Exempt Issuers, TSX Non-Exempt Producer and TSX Non-Exempt Exploration and Development Stage. These requirements of these categories reflect the stage of development of the issuer at the time of listing. Exempt issuers are more advanced and so subject to less stringent reporting requirements.

TSX Listing Requirements:

	TSX non-exempt (Exploration & Development)	TSX non-exempt (Producer)	TSX exempt
Property Requirements	Advanced property detailed in technical report Minimum 50% ownership	3 years proven and probable reserves with no production decision made	3 years proven and probable reserves
Recommended Work Program	$750,000	Bringing the mine into production	Commercial level mining operations
Working Capital and Financial Resources	Minimum $2,000,000	Sufficient funds to bring the mine into commercial production Adequate working capital for all budgeted expenditures	Adequate working capital to carry on the business
Net Tangible Assets	$3,000,000	$4,000,000 Evidence indicating profitability	$7,500,000 net tangible assets; pre-tax profitability from ongoing operations in last fiscal year Pre-tax cash flow of $700,000 in last fiscal year and average pre-tax cash flow of $500,000 for past two fiscal years
Management and Boards	Management, including board of directors with adequate experience and technical expertise relevant to the mining projects as well as adequate public company experience At least two independent directors, a CEO, a Chief Financial Officer who is not also the CEO, and a Corporate Secretary
Distribution, Market Capitalization and Public Float	Minimum 1,000,000 freely tradeable shares with market value of $4,000,000 At least 300 public holders, each with one board lot or more
Sponsorship	Required		Not Required
Other Criteria	Management-prepared 18 month projection of sources and uses of funds detailing all expenditures and signed by CFO		Up-to-date, comprehensive technical report prepared by independent qualified person

Source: TMX. Figures are in CDN.

At this stage, bankers and lawyers set up the financing of a project based on geological and economic studies. Good financing terms can enhance the potential value of a mineral deposit and attract investors.

But sometimes, just this one listing is not enough to allow a company or project to meet its full potential.

Expanding Shareholders: NASDAQ and NYSE Listing Requirements

Companies that require more capital or to meet corporate governance rules in the countries they work in can seek a listing on additional stock exchange markets outside of their home countries. There are several benefits of additional listings:

Gain exposure and access to more capital
Help in improving a company’s structure of corporate governance
Attract more and better talent
Improves the reputation of a company

The NASDAQ and New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) can improve access to the American market. There are only 76 gold mining companies listed on the NASDAQ and NYSE exchanges.

	NASDAQ	NYSE
Pre-tax income	$0 to $750,000	$2,000,000
Market Capitalization	$0 to $75,000,000	$2,000,000
Total Assets and Revenue	$0 to $75,000,000	n/a
Market Value of Public Float	$3,000,000 to $20,000,000	$100,000,000 or $40,000,000 (if IPO)
Stockholders Equity	$4,000,000	No more than $60,000,000
Minimum Share Price	$2 to $3	$4
Operating History	0 to 2 years	n/a

Source: NASDAQ, NYSE. Figures are in USD

Increased trading, world-class investors, and a well-run operation can deliver a mining company a lot of prestige and generate significant returns.

Ultimately, the continued success of the company will rely on its ability to maintain production and continue to deliver gold to the market. This all comes back to a company’s ability to find, develop, and exploit new gold deposits.

I just want to remind you that the real wealth in the mining industry is generated by FINDING something.
– Robert Friedland, Executive Chairman, Ivanhoe Mines

Building Mineral Wealth to Last

The project development timeline and mine lifecycle is a very long one. It can take decades to move from discovery to production. Each stage requires different amounts of capital and investors.

The odds of building a mine are stacked against a junior mining company—but for the few that grow through the listing process requirements, they can become the next great investment.

A mineral discovery is rare, but a successful gold mining company is even rarer.