Politics
Mapped: 2024 Global Elections by Country
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Mapping 2024 Global Elections by Country
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With almost half of the world’s population residing in countries holding executive or legislative elections in 2024, it’s set to be the busiest election year ever recorded.
This visualization uses collated 2024 global elections data from our 2024 Global Forecast Series as well as from Time, while country populations are taken from Worldometer as of January 2024.
Countries Holding 2024 Elections Around the World
Many people are already aware of the U.S. presidential and legislative elections set to be held on November 5th, especially due to American influence on the global political stage and media coverage.
But two governments affecting larger populations, India and the European Union, are also slated to have elections in 2024.
Below, we sort the countries expected to hold elections in 2024 by population (countries with no set election date yet have been marked “N/A”):
Country | Election Date | Type | Population |
---|---|---|---|
🇮🇳 India | N/A | Legislative | 1,428,627,663 |
🇪🇺 European Union | 6/6/2024 | Legislative | 448,387,872 |
🇺🇸 United States | 11/5/2024 | Executive & Legislative | 339,996,563 |
🇮🇩 Indonesia | 2/14/2024 | Executive & Legislative | 277,534,122 |
🇵🇰 Pakistan | 2/8/2024 | Legislative | 240,485,658 |
🇧🇩 Bangladesh | 1/7/2024 | Legislative | 172,954,319 |
🇷🇺 Russia | 3/15/2024 | Executive | 144,444,359 |
🇲🇽 Mexico | 6/2/2024 | Executive & Legislative | 128,455,567 |
🇮🇷 Iran | 3/1/2024 | Legislative | 89,172,767 |
🇬🇧 UK | N/A | Legislative | 67,736,802 |
🇿🇦 South Africa | 5/29/2024 | Legislative | 60,414,495 |
🇰🇷 South Korea | 4/10/2024 | Legislative | 51,784,059 |
🇩🇿 Algeria | N/A | Executive | 45,606,480 |
🇺🇦 Ukraine | 3/31/2024 | Executive | 36,744,634 |
🇺🇿 Uzbekistan | N/A | Legislative | 35,163,944 |
🇬🇭 Ghana | 12/7/2024 | Executive & Legislative | 34,121,985 |
🇲🇿 Mozambique | 10/9/2024 | Executive & Legislative | 33,897,354 |
🇲🇬 Madagascar | N/A | Legislative | 30,325,732 |
🇻🇪 Venezuela | N/A | Executive | 28,838,499 |
🇰🇵 North Korea | N/A | Legislative | 26,160,821 |
🇹🇼 Taiwan | 1/13/2024 | Executive & Legislative | 23,923,276 |
🇲🇱 Mali | N/A | Executive | 23,293,698 |
🇸🇾 Syria | N/A | Legislative | 23,227,014 |
🇱🇰 Sri Lanka | N/A | Executive & Legislative | 21,893,579 |
🇷🇴 Romania | N/A | Executive & Legislative | 19,892,812 |
🇹🇩 Chad | N/A | Executive | 18,278,568 |
🇸🇳 Senegal | 12/15/2024 | Executive | 17,763,163 |
🇰🇭 Cambodia | 2/25/2024 | Legislative | 16,944,826 |
🇷🇼 Rwanda | 7/15/2024 | Executive & Legislative | 14,094,683 |
🇹🇳 Tunisia | N/A | Executive | 12,458,223 |
🇧🇪 Belgium | 6/9/2024 | Legislative | 11,686,140 |
🇯🇴 Jordan | N/A | Legislative | 11,337,052 |
🇩🇴 Dominican Republic | 5/19/2024 | Executive & Legislative | 11,332,972 |
🇸🇸 South Sudan | N/A | Executive & Legislative | 11,088,796 |
🇨🇿 Czechia | N/A | Legislative | 10,495,295 |
🇦🇿 Azerbaijan | 2/7/2024 | Executive | 10,412,651 |
🇵🇹 Portugal | 3/10/2024 | Legislative | 10,247,605 |
🇧🇾 Belarus | 2/25/2024 | Legislative | 9,498,238 |
🇹🇬 Togo | 4/20/2024 | Legislative | 9,053,799 |
🇦🇹 Austria | N/A | Legislative | 8,958,960 |
🇸🇻 El Salvador | 2/4/2024 | Executive & Legislative | 6,364,943 |
🇸🇰 Slovakia | 3/23/2024 | Executive | 5,795,199 |
🇫🇮 Finland | 1/28/2024 | Executive | 5,545,475 |
🇲🇷 Mauritania | 6/22/2024 | Executive | 4,862,989 |
🇵🇦 Panama | 5/5/2024 | Executive & Legislative | 4,468,087 |
🇭🇷 Croatia | 9/22/2024 | Executive & Legislative | 4,008,617 |
🇬🇪 Georgia | 10/26/2024 | Executive & Legislative | 3,728,282 |
🇲🇳 Mongolia | 6/28/2024 | Legislative | 3,447,157 |
🇲🇩 Moldova | N/A | Executive | 3,435,931 |
🇺🇾 Uruguay | 10/27/2024 | Executive & Legislative | 3,423,108 |
🇱🇹 Lithuania | 5/12/2024 | Executive & Legislative | 2,718,352 |
🇧🇼 Botswana | N/A | Legislative | 2,675,352 |
🇳🇦 Namibia | N/A | Executive & Legislative | 2,604,172 |
🇬🇼 Guinea Bissau | N/A | Executive | 2,150,842 |
🇲🇰 North Macedonia | 5/8/2024 | Executive & Legislative | 2,085,679 |
🇲🇺 Mauritius | 11/30/2024 | Legislative | 1300557 |
🇰🇲 Comoros | 1/14/2024 | Executive | 852,075 |
🇧🇹 Bhutan | 1/9/2024 | Legislative | 787,424 |
🇸🇧 Solomon Islands | 4/17/2024 | Legislative | 740,424 |
🇲🇻 Maldives | 3/17/2024 | Legislative | 521,021 |
🇮🇸 Iceland | 6/1/2024 | Executive | 375,318 |
🇰🇮 Kiribati | N/A | Executive & Legislative | 133,515 |
🇸🇲 San Marino | N/A | Legislative | 33,642 |
🇵🇼 Palau | 11/12/2024 | Executive & Legislative | 18,058 |
🇹🇻 Tuvalu | 1/26/2024 | Legislative | 11,396 |
A few notable elections have already occurred. Taiwan held general elections on January 13th, with the more anti-China Democratic Progressive Party retaining the presidency but losing its majority in the legislature.
Pakistan also held elections on February 8th, with former Prime Minster Imran Khan’s party and affiliates winning a plurality of seats but losing power to a military-backed coalition.
Pakistan’s election results were cast into doubt by foreign observers and media, with Khan having been arrested and sentenced to prison on corruption charges. It is far from the only country holding controversial and potentially undemocratic elections in 2024.
Bangladesh’s landslide January 7th elections were boycotted by the opposition and voters, and Russia’s March 15th elections had three anti-war presidential candidates barred from competing, including Alexei Navalny before his controversial death in February.
Economy
The Bloc Effect: International Trade with Geopolitical Allies on the Rise
Rising geopolitical tensions are shaping the future of international trade, but what is the effect on trading among G7 and BRICS countries?
The Bloc Effect: International Trade with Allies on the Rise
International trade has become increasingly fragmented over the last five years as countries have shifted to trading more with their geopolitical allies.
This graphic from The Hinrich Foundation, the first in a three-part series covering the future of trade, provides visual context to the growing divide in trade in G7 and pre-expansion BRICS countries, which are used as proxies for geopolitical blocs.
Trade Shifts in G7 and BRICS Countries
This analysis uses IMF data to examine differences in shares of exports within and between trading blocs from 2018 to 2023. For example, we looked at the percentage of China’s exports with other BRICS members as well as with G7 members to see how these proportions shifted in percentage points (pp) over time.
Countries traded nearly $270 billion more with allies in 2023 compared to 2018. This shift came at the expense of trade with rival blocs, which saw a decline of $314 billion.
Country Change in Exports Within Bloc (pp) Change in Exports With Other Bloc (pp)
🇮🇳 India 0.0 3.9
🇷🇺 Russia 0.7 -3.8
🇮🇹 Italy 0.8 -0.7
🇨🇦 Canada 0.9 -0.7
🇫🇷 France 1.0 -1.1
🇪🇺 EU 1.1 -1.5
🇩🇪 Germany 1.4 -2.1
🇿🇦 South Africa 1.5 1.5
🇺🇸 U.S. 1.6 -0.4
🇯🇵 Japan 2.0 -1.7
🇨🇳 China 2.1 -5.2
🇧🇷 Brazil 3.7 -3.3
🇬🇧 UK 10.2 0.5
All shifts reported are in percentage points. For example, the EU saw its share of exports to G7 countries rise from 74.3% in 2018 to 75.4% in 2023, which equates to a 1.1 percentage point increase.
The UK saw the largest uptick in trading with other countries within the G7 (+10.2 percentage points), namely the EU, as the post-Brexit trade slump to the region recovered.
Meanwhile, the U.S.-China trade dispute caused China’s share of exports to the G7 to fall by 5.2 percentage points from 2018 to 2023, the largest decline in our sample set. In fact, partly as a result of the conflict, the U.S. has by far the highest number of harmful tariffs in place.
The Russia-Ukraine War and ensuing sanctions by the West contributed to Russia’s share of exports to the G7 falling by 3.8 percentage points over the same timeframe.
India, South Africa, and the UK bucked the trend and continued to witness advances in exports with the opposing bloc.
Average Trade Shifts of G7 and BRICS Blocs
Though results varied significantly on a country-by-country basis, the broader trend towards favoring geopolitical allies in international trade is clear.
Bloc Change in Exports Within Bloc (pp) Change in Exports With Other Bloc (pp)
Average 2.1 -1.1
BRICS 1.6 -1.4
G7 incl. EU 2.4 -1.0
Overall, BRICS countries saw a larger shift away from exports with the other bloc, while for G7 countries the shift within their own bloc was more pronounced. This implies that though BRICS countries are trading less with the G7, they are relying more on trade partners outside their bloc to make up for the lost G7 share.
A Global Shift in International Trade and Geopolitical Proximity
The movement towards strengthening trade relations based on geopolitical proximity is a global trend.
The United Nations categorizes countries along a scale of geopolitical proximity based on UN voting records.
According to the organization’s analysis, international trade between geopolitically close countries rose from the first quarter of 2022 (when Russia first invaded Ukraine) to the third quarter of 2023 by over 6%. Conversely, trade with geopolitically distant countries declined.
The second piece in this series will explore China’s gradual move away from using the U.S. dollar in trade settlements.
Visit the Hinrich Foundation to learn more about the future of geopolitical trade
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