Uncovering Income: Dividend Stocks with Strong Yields
Amid the current market volatility, attractive income-generating investments can be hard to find.
Treasury bond yields hover near record lows, and U.S. companies face restrictions on issuing dividends if they accept COVID-19 stimulus funds. Moreover, Goldman Sachs estimates dividends for S&P 500 stocks will decline by 25% this year.
Which stocks can investors turn to for stable distributions and relatively high dividend yields? Today’s visualization shows 35 stocks that may meet this criteria, leveraging Goldman Sachs data as published by Forbes.
The Dividend Stocks to Watch
To compile the list, Goldman Sachs identified stocks from the Russell 1000 index that met a number of requirements:
- A minimum annualized dividend yield of 3%
- An S&P credit rating of at least BBB+
- Ample cash on hand
- Strong balance sheets
- ”Reasonable” payout ratios
- At least average performance since the market peak
Dividend yields, which measure dividend income in relation to the share price, were initially calculated March 27. We have updated them as of market close on April 8. Here’s the full breakdown, sorted from highest to lowest dividend yield:
|Rank||Company||Ticker||Annual Dividend Yield||Sector|
|1||CenterPoint Energy, Inc.||NYSE: CNP||6.90%||Utilities|
|2||Wells Fargo & Company||NYSE: WFC||6.74%||Financials|
|3||People's United Financial, Inc.||NASDAQGS: PBCT||6.34%||Financials|
|4||Franklin Resources, Inc.||NYSE: BEN||6.28%||Financials|
|5||Regency Centers||NASDAQGS: REG||5.82%||Real estate|
|6||Truist Financial||NYSE: TFC||5.50%||Financials|
|7||International Business Machines||NYSE: IBM||5.43%||Tech|
|8||Omnicom Group Inc.||NYSE: OMC||4.76%||Communication services|
|9||U.S. Bancorp||NYSE: USB||4.71%||Financials|
|10||Raytheon Technologies (merger of Raytheon and United Tech.)||NYSE: RTX||4.69%||Industrials|
|11||NetApp, Inc.||NASDAQGS: NTAP||4.69%||Information Technology|
|12||The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.||NYSE: PNC||4.62%||Financials|
|13||Eaton Vance Corp.||NYSE: EV||4.34%||Financials|
|14||Nucor Corporation||NYSE: NUE||4.12%||Materials|
|15||United Parcel Service, Inc.||NYSE: UPS||4.09%||Industrials|
|16||M&T Bank Corporation||NYSE: MTB||4.09%||Financials|
|17||Exelon Corporation||NASDAQGS: EXC||4.07%||Utilities|
|18||Archer-Daniels-Midland Company||NYSE: ADM||3.95%||Consumer staples|
|19||3M Company||NYSE: MMM||3.95%||Industrials|
|20||Emerson Electric Co.||NYSE: EMR||3.84%||Industrials|
|21||Sysco Corp.||NYSE: SYY||3.81%||Consumer staples|
|22||Mid-America Apartment Communities||NYSE: MAA||3.61%||Real Estate|
|23||Essex Property Trust, Inc.||NYSE: ESS||3.55%||Real Estate|
|24||MDU Resources Group||NYSE: MDU||3.53%||Utilities|
|25||Cummins Inc.||NYSE: CMI||3.51%||Industrials|
|26||Sonoco Products Co.||NYSE: SON||3.50%||Materials|
|27||Cisco Systems, Inc.||NASDAQGS: CSCO||3.45%||Information Technology|
|28||American Electric Power Company, Inc.||NYSE: AEP||3.36%||Utilities|
|29||The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc.||NYSE: HIG||3.36%||Financials|
|30||NiSource Inc.||NYSE: NI||3.30%||Utilities|
|31||Caterpillar Inc.||NYSE: CAT||3.23%||Industrials|
|32||Everest Re Group, Ltd.||NYSE: RE||3.13%||Financials|
|33||Bristol-Myers Squibb Company||NYSE: BMY||3.09%||Health care, pharmaceuticals|
|34||The Home Depot, Inc.||NYSE: HD||3.08%||Consumer discretionary|
|35||Bank of America Corporation||NYSE: BAC||3.07%||Financials|
Note: From the original list, 5 stocks have been excluded as they no longer meet the 3% annualized yield threshold.
Centerpoint Energy, an electric and natural gas utility company, is at the top of the list. Since utility stocks are generally considered to be recession-resistant, investors may benefit from both the company’s yield and its defensive qualities.
Financials are the most-represented sector, with 11 companies on the list. Although regulators have pressured European banks to suspend dividend payments, U.S. banks will likely be able to continue their distributions. Top banking executives have argued they have sufficient capital to weather the COVID-19 crisis, and that halting payments would be “destabilizing to investors.”
There are also a number of well-known names on the list, including Home Depot, IBM, and 3M. The latter is the largest maker of respirator masks worldwide, and has been providing critical supplies to the U.S., Canada, and Latin America.
Caution: Volatility Ahead
As the pandemic’s financial impact continues, it’s likely many companies will delay or suspend their dividends. To avoid falling into “yield traps”—a trap in which an attractive yield could be due to a fundamental business problem—investors can screen for the qualities laid out above.
A strong balance sheet, good credit rating, and average or better performance since the downturn can all help point towards stability.
The World’s Biggest Real Estate Bubbles in 2021
According to UBS, there are nine real estate markets that are in bubble territory with prices rising to unsustainable levels.
Ranked: The World’s Biggest Real Estate Bubbles in 2021
Identifying real estate bubbles is a tricky business. After all, even though many of us “know a bubble when we see it”, we don’t have tangible proof of a bubble until it actually bursts.
And by then, it’s too late.
The map above, based on data from the Real Estate Bubble Index by UBS, serves as an early warning system, evaluating 25 global cities and scoring them based on their bubble risk.
Reading the Signs
Bubbles are hard to distinguish in real-time as investors must judge whether a market’s pricing accurately reflects what will happen in the future. Even so, there are some signs to watch out for.
As one example, a decoupling of prices from local incomes and rents is a common red flag. As well, imbalances in the real economy, such as excessive construction activity and lending can signal a bubble in the making.
With this in mind, which global markets are exhibiting the most bubble risk?
The Geography of Real Estate Bubbles
Europe is home to a number of cities that have extreme bubble risk, with Frankfurt topping the list this year. Germany’s financial hub has seen real home prices rise by 10% per year on average since 2016—the highest rate of all cities evaluated.
Two Canadian cities also find themselves in bubble territory: Toronto and Vancouver. In the former, nearly 30% of purchases in 2021 went to buyers with multiple properties, showing that real estate investment is alive and well. Despite efforts to cool down these hot urban markets, Canadian markets have rebounded and continued their march upward. In fact, over the past three decades, residential home prices in Canada grew at the fastest rates in the G7.
Despite civil unrest and unease over new policies, Hong Kong still has the second highest score in this index. Meanwhile, Dubai is listed as “undervalued” and is the only city in the index with a negative score. Residential prices have trended down for the past six years and are now down nearly 40% from 2014 levels.
Note: The Real Estate Bubble Index does not currently include cities in Mainland China.
Trending Ever Upward
Overheated markets are nothing new, though the COVID-19 pandemic has changed the dynamic of real estate markets.
For years, house price appreciation in city centers was all but guaranteed as construction boomed and people were eager to live an urban lifestyle. Remote work options and office downsizing is changing the value equation for many, and as a result, housing prices in non-urban areas increased faster than in cities for the first time since the 1990s.
Even so, these changing priorities haven’t deflated the real estate market in the world’s global cities. Below are growth rates for 2021 so far, and how that compares to the last five years.
Overall, prices have been trending upward almost everywhere. All but four of the cities above—Milan, Paris, New York, and San Francisco—have had positive growth year-on-year.
Even as real estate bubbles continue to grow, there is an element of uncertainty. Debt-to-income ratios continue to rise, and lending standards, which were relaxed during the pandemic, are tightening once again. Add in the societal shifts occurring right now, and predicting the future of these markets becomes more difficult.
In the short term, we may see what UBS calls “the era of urban outperformance” come to an end.
Mapped: Distribution of Global GDP by Region
Where does the world’s economic activity take place? This cartogram shows the $94 trillion global economy divided into 1,000 hexagons.
Mapped: The Distribution of Global GDP by Region
Gross domestic product (GDP) measures the value of goods and services that an economy produces in a given year, but in a global context, it is typically shown using country-level data.
As a result, we don’t often get to see the nuances of the global economy, such as how much specific regions and metro areas contribute to global GDP.
In these cartograms, global GDP has been normalized to a base number of 1,000 in order to show a more regional breakdown of economic activity. Created by Reddit user /BerryBlue_Blueberry, the two maps show the distribution in different ways: by nominal GDP and by GDP adjusted for purchasing power parity (PPP).
Before diving in, let us give you some context on how these maps were designed. Each hexagon on the two maps represents 0.1% of the world’s overall GDP.
The number below each region, country or metropolitan area represents the number of hexagons covered by that entity. So in the nominal GDP map, the state of New York represents 20 hexagons (i.e. 2.0% of global GDP), while Munich’s metro area is 3 hexagons (0.3%).
Countries are further broken down based on size. Countries that make up more than 0.95% of global GDP are broken down into subdivisions, while countries that are smaller than 0.1% of GDP are grouped together. Metro areas that account for over 0.25% of global GDP are featured.
Finally, it should be noted that to account for some outdated subdivision participation data, the map creator calculated 2021 estimates for this using the formula: national GDP (2021) x % of subdivision participation (2017-2020).
Nominal vs. PPP
The above map is using nominal data, while the below map accounts for differences in purchasing power (PPP).
Adjusting for PPP takes into account the relative value of currencies and purchasing power in countries around the world. For example, $100 (or its exchange equivalent in Indian rupees) is generally going to be able to buy more in India than it is in the United States.
This is because goods and services are cheaper in India, meaning you can actually purchase more there for the same amount of money.
Anomalies in Global GDP Distribution
Breaking down global GDP distribution into cartograms highlights some interesting anomalies worth considering:
- North America, Europe, and East Asia, with a combined GDP of nearly $75 trillion, make up 80% of the world’s GDP in nominal terms.
- The U.S. State of California accounts for 3.7% of the world’s GDP by itself, which ranks higher than the United Kingdom’s total contribution of 3.3%.
- Canada as a country accounts for 2% of the world’s GDP, which is comparable to the GDP contribution of the Greater Tokyo Area at 2.2%.
- With a GDP of $3 trillion, India’s contribution overshadows the GDP of the whole African continent ($2.6 trillion).
- This visualization highlights the economic might of cities better than a conventional map. One standout example of this is in Ontario, Canada. The Greater Toronto Area completely eclipses the economy of the rest of the province.
Inequality of GDP Distribution
The fact that certain countries generate most of the world’s economic output is reflected in the above cartograms, which resize countries or regions accordingly.
Compared to wealthier nations, emerging economies still account for just a tiny sliver of the pie.
India, for example, accounts for 3.2% of global GDP in nominal terms, even though it contains 17.8% of the world’s population.
That’s why on the nominal map, India is about the same size as France, the United Kingdom, or Japan’s two largest metro areas (Tokyo and Osaka-Kobe)—but of course, these wealthier places have a far higher GDP per capita.
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