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The Frequency of Billion-Dollar Disasters in the U.S.
Frequency of Billion-Dollar Disasters in the U.S.
Wildfires on the Hawaiian island of Maui have had devastating effects on people, towns, and nature, and the final cost is nowhere near tallied. They are the latest of many climate disasters in the U.S.—and data shows that their frequency has been increasing.
These graphics from Planet Anomaly use tracking data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to show the average number of days between billion-dollar weather disasters in the U.S. from 1980 to 2022.
Methodology
NOAA’s database examines billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in America. Total associated damages and costs for each event are adjusted for inflation using the 2023 Consumer Price Index (CPI).
Disasters are categorized as one of seven different types:
- Drought: Prolonged dry spells resulting in water shortages and reduced soil moisture.
- Flooding: Overflow of water inundating land usually due to intense rainfall or melting snow.
- Tropical Cyclone: Intense rotating storm systems known as hurricanes.
- Severe Storm: Includes windstorms and tornadoes, hail, lightning, and heavy precipitation.
- Winter Storm: Heavy snow, freezing rain, and icy conditions impacting transportation and infrastructure.
- Wildfire: Uncontrolled fires consuming vast areas of forests and vegetation.
- Freezes: Sub-zero temperatures damaging crops and infrastructure, such as pipes or energy lines.
The average days between billion-dollar disasters are calculated from the start dates of adjacent events within a single year.
Days Between Billion-Dollar Disasters in the U.S. (1980‒2022)
Between 1980 and 2022, there were 155 total disasters in the U.S. that cost more than a billion dollars in damages when adjusted for inflation.
And when looking at the average number of days between these billion-dollar events within each year, we can see the decades becoming more and more costly:
Year | Avg. Days Between Disasters |
---|---|
1980 | 60 |
1981 | 113 |
1982 | 85 |
1983 | 66 |
1984 | 78 |
1985 | 48 |
1986 | 104 |
1987 | N/A |
1988 | N/A |
1989 | 47 |
1990 | 74 |
1991 | 71 |
1992 | 44 |
1993 | 44 |
1994 | 54 |
1995 | 46 |
1996 | 73 |
1997 | 111 |
1998 | 39 |
1999 | 64 |
2000 | 64 |
2001 | 30 |
2002 | 51 |
2003 | 34 |
2004 | 23 |
2005 | 47 |
2006 | 39 |
2007 | 35 |
2008 | 23 |
2009 | 33 |
2010 | 40 |
2011 | 16 |
2012 | 30 |
2013 | 30 |
2014 | 30 |
2015 | 36 |
2016 | 20 |
2017 | 13 |
2018 | 19 |
2019 | 18 |
2020 | 14 |
2021 | 18 |
2022 | 20 |
Back in the early 1980s, the average interval between these major disasters (within each year) was 75 days. Even more starkly, 1987 had no climate disasters that topped $1 billion in damages, while 1988 only had one.
Fast forward to 2022, and that average window has drastically reduced to a mere 20 days between billion-dollar disasters in the United States.
Breaking Down Billion-Dollar Disasters by Type
Of the 155 disasters tracked through 2022, the majority have been in the form of severe storms including tornadoes, windstorms, and thunderstorms.
The worst severe storms include an outbreak of tornadoes in April 2011 across many central and southern states, with an estimated 343 tornadoes causing a total of $14 billion in CPI-adjusted damages. In August 2020, a powerful derecho—a widespread and intense windstorm characterized by straight-line winds—devastated millions of acres of crops across the Midwest and caused $13 billion in adjusted damages.
But the most expensive disasters so far have been hurricanes. Eight hurricanes top the inflation-adjusted damages charts, with Hurricane Katrina’s unprecedented devastation in 2005 leading with a staggering $194 billion.
Will the U.S. be prepared for more costly disasters going forward? And will climate change continue to accelerate the pace of weather disasters in the U.S. even more?
This article was published as a part of Visual Capitalist's Creator Program, which features data-driven visuals from some of our favorite Creators around the world.
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Chart: Damage Caused by Global Forest Fires (2001-2023)
See how total forest cover lost has changed over the last 22 years, along with what portion comes from wildfire impact.
Chart: Damage Caused by Global Forest Fires (2001-2023)
This was originally posted on our Voronoi app. Download the app for free on iOS or Android and discover incredible data-driven charts from a variety of trusted sources.
This graphic shows the number of hectares lost each year to global forest fires, based on recent data published by the World Resources Institute (WRI).
The dark part of the trees represents forest loss from non-fire related causes, while the bright portion is forest loss due to fire.
Data and Methodology
To collect this data, researchers at the University of Maryland used Landsat satellite imagery to map the area of tree cover lost to stand-replacing forest fires (fires that kill all or most of the living overstory in a forest) annually from 2001 to 2023.
Year | Fire-related losses (million hectares) | Non-fire losses (million hectares) | Fire share of total losses (%) |
---|---|---|---|
2001 | 2.5 | 10.8 | 19% |
2002 | 4.6 | 11.9 | 28% |
2003 | 4.5 | 10.0 | 31% |
2004 | 5.4 | 14.5 | 27% |
2005 | 3.9 | 14.2 | 22% |
2006 | 4.2 | 13.5 | 24% |
2007 | 4.0 | 14.4 | 21% |
2008 | 4.2 | 14.4 | 23% |
2009 | 2.9 | 14.1 | 17% |
2010 | 3.6 | 14.9 | 20% |
2011 | 4.2 | 13.4 | 24% |
2012 | 6.7 | 16.8 | 28% |
2013 | 7.0 | 13.7 | 34% |
2014 | 6.4 | 17.3 | 27% |
2015 | 5.3 | 14.3 | 27% |
2016 | 9.6 | 20.1 | 32% |
2017 | 7.9 | 21.5 | 27% |
2018 | 6.4 | 18.3 | 26% |
2019 | 7.6 | 16.6 | 31% |
2020 | 8.9 | 17.0 | 34% |
2021 | 9.3 | 15.9 | 37% |
2022 | 6.7 | 16.1 | 29% |
2023 | 11.9 | 16.3 | 42% |
While the number of hectares burned varies each year, we can see there has been a clear upward trend since 2001. For example, 2020, 2021, and 2023 were the fourth, third, and first worst years in the dataset for forest fires globally.
2023’s losses were partly driven by Canada, which contains nearly 9% of the world’s forests. The country lost a massive 7.8 million hectares in 2023 due to fires.
Why Are Fires Becoming Worse?
According to the WRI, climate change is a major reason the damage caused by global forest fires is increasing. For example, extreme heat waves are five times more likely today than they were 150 years ago.
This is due to the climate feedback loop, where increasing emissions drive hotter and drier conditions, which in turn cause more fires.
When forests burn, the carbon that was stored in their trunks, branches, and leaves is released into the atmosphere. This release of carbon further drives hotter and drier conditions.
Learn More on the Voronoi App
If you enjoyed this post, check out this graphic that breaks down global carbon emissions by country.
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