Markets
Top Heavy: Countries by Share of the Global Economy
Countries by Share of the Global Economy
As 2022 comes to a close we can recap many historic milestones of the year, like the Earth’s population hitting 8 billion and the global economy surpassing $100 trillion.
In this chart, we visualize the world’s GDP using data from the IMF, showcasing the biggest economies and the share of global economic activity that they make up.
The GDP Heavyweights
The global economy can be thought of as a pie, with the size of each slice representing the share of global GDP contributed by each country. Currently, the largest slices of the pie are held by the United States, China, Japan, Germany, and India, which together account for more than half of global GDP.
Here’s a look at every country’s share of the world’s $101.6 trillion economy:
Rank | Country | GDP (Billions, USD) |
---|---|---|
#1 | 🇺🇸 United States | $25,035.2 |
#2 | 🇨🇳 China | $18,321.2 |
#3 | 🇯🇵 Japan | $4,300.6 |
#4 | 🇩🇪 Germany | $4,031.1 |
#5 | 🇮🇳 India | $3,468.6 |
#6 | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | $3,198.5 |
#7 | 🇫🇷 France | $2,778.1 |
#8 | 🇨🇦 Canada | $2,200.4 |
#9 | 🇷🇺 Russia | $2,133.1 |
#10 | 🇮🇹 Italy | $1,997.0 |
#11 | 🇮🇷 Iran | $1,973.7 |
#12 | 🇧🇷 Brazil | $1,894.7 |
#13 | 🇰🇷 South Korea | $1,734.2 |
#14 | 🇦🇺 Australia | $1,724.8 |
#15 | 🇲🇽 Mexico | $1,424.5 |
#16 | 🇪🇸 Spain | $1,389.9 |
#17 | 🇮🇩 Indonesia | $1,289.4 |
#18 | 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia | $1,010.6 |
#19 | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | $990.6 |
#20 | 🇹🇷 Turkey | $853.5 |
#21 | 🇹🇼 Taiwan | $828.7 |
#22 | 🇨🇭 Switzerland | $807.4 |
#23 | 🇵🇱 Poland | $716.3 |
#24 | 🇦🇷 Argentina | $630.7 |
#25 | 🇸🇪 Sweden | $603.9 |
#26 | 🇧🇪 Belgium | $589.5 |
#27 | 🇹🇭 Thailand | $534.8 |
#28 | 🇮🇱 Israel | $527.2 |
#29 | 🇮🇪 Ireland | $519.8 |
#30 | 🇳🇴 Norway | $504.7 |
#31 | 🇳🇬 Nigeria | $504.2 |
#32 | 🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates | $503.9 |
#33 | 🇪🇬 Egypt | $469.1 |
#34 | 🇦🇹 Austria | $468.0 |
#35 | 🇧🇩 Bangladesh | $460.8 |
#36 | 🇲🇾 Malaysia | $434.1 |
#37 | 🇸🇬 Singapore | $423.6 |
#38 | 🇻🇳 Vietnam | $413.8 |
#39 | 🇿🇦 South Africa | $411.5 |
#40 | 🇵🇭 Philippines | $401.7 |
#41 | 🇩🇰 Denmark | $386.7 |
#42 | 🇵🇰 Pakistan | $376.5 |
#43 | 🇭🇰 Hong Kong SAR | $368.4 |
#44 | 🇨🇴 Colombia | $342.9 |
#45 | 🇨🇱 Chile | $310.9 |
#46 | 🇷🇴 Romania | $299.9 |
#47 | 🇨🇿 Czech Republic | $295.6 |
#48 | 🇮🇶 Iraq | $282.9 |
#49 | 🇫🇮 Finland | $281.4 |
#50 | 🇵🇹 Portugal | $255.9 |
#51 | 🇳🇿 New Zealand | $242.7 |
#52 | 🇵🇪 Peru | $239.3 |
#53 | 🇰🇿 Kazakhstan | $224.3 |
#54 | 🇬🇷 Greece | $222.0 |
#55 | 🇶🇦 Qatar | $221.4 |
#56 | 🇩🇿 Algeria | $187.2 |
#57 | 🇭🇺 Hungary | $184.7 |
#58 | 🇰🇼 Kuwait | $183.6 |
#59 | 🇲🇦 Morocco | $142.9 |
#60 | 🇦🇴 Angola | $124.8 |
#61 | 🇵🇷 Puerto Rico | $118.7 |
#62 | 🇪🇨 Ecuador | $115.5 |
#63 | 🇰🇪 Kenya | $114.9 |
#64 | 🇸🇰 Slovakia | $112.4 |
#65 | 🇩🇴 Dominican Republic | $112.4 |
#66 | 🇪🇹 Ethiopia | $111.2 |
#67 | 🇴🇲 Oman | $109.0 |
#68 | 🇬🇹 Guatemala | $91.3 |
#69 | 🇧🇬 Bulgaria | $85.0 |
#70 | 🇱🇺 Luxembourg | $82.2 |
#71 | 🇻🇪 Venezuela | $82.1 |
#72 | 🇧🇾 Belarus | $79.7 |
#73 | 🇺🇿 Uzbekistan | $79.1 |
#74 | 🇹🇿 Tanzania | $76.6 |
#75 | 🇬🇭 Ghana | $76.0 |
#76 | 🇹🇲 Turkmenistan | $74.4 |
#77 | 🇱🇰 Sri Lanka | $73.7 |
#78 | 🇺🇾 Uruguay | $71.2 |
#79 | 🇵🇦 Panama | $71.1 |
#80 | 🇦🇿 Azerbaijan | $70.1 |
#81 | 🇭🇷 Croatia | $69.4 |
#82 | 🇨🇮 Côte d'Ivoire | $68.6 |
#83 | 🇨🇷 Costa Rica | $68.5 |
#84 | 🇱🇹 Lithuania | $68.0 |
#85 | 🇨🇩 Democratic Republic of the Congo | $63.9 |
#86 | 🇷🇸 Serbia | $62.7 |
#87 | 🇸🇮 Slovenia | $62.2 |
#88 | 🇲🇲 Myanmar | $59.5 |
#89 | 🇺🇬 Uganda | $48.4 |
#90 | 🇯🇴 Jordan | $48.1 |
#91 | 🇹🇳 Tunisia | $46.3 |
#92 | 🇨🇲 Cameroon | $44.2 |
#93 | 🇧🇭 Bahrain | $43.5 |
#94 | 🇧🇴 Bolivia | $43.4 |
#95 | 🇸🇩 Sudan | $42.8 |
#96 | 🇵🇾 Paraguay | $41.9 |
#97 | 🇱🇾 Libya | $40.8 |
#98 | 🇱🇻 Latvia | $40.6 |
#99 | 🇪🇪 Estonia | $39.1 |
#100 | 🇳🇵 Nepal | $39.0 |
#101 | 🇿🇼 Zimbabwe | $38.3 |
#102 | 🇸🇻 El Salvador | $32.0 |
#103 | 🇵🇬 Papua New Guinea | $31.4 |
#104 | 🇭🇳 Honduras | $30.6 |
#105 | 🇹🇹 Trinidad and Tobago | $29.3 |
#106 | 🇰🇭 Cambodia | $28.3 |
#107 | 🇮🇸 Iceland | $27.7 |
#108 | 🇾🇪 Yemen | $27.6 |
#109 | 🇸🇳 Senegal | $27.5 |
#110 | 🇿🇲 Zambia | $27.0 |
#111 | 🇨🇾 Cyprus | $26.7 |
#112 | 🇬🇪 Georgia | $25.2 |
#113 | 🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina | $23.7 |
#114 | 🇲🇴 Macao SAR | $23.4 |
#115 | 🇬🇦 Gabon | $22.2 |
#116 | 🇭🇹 Haiti | $20.2 |
#117 | 🇬🇳 Guinea | $19.7 |
#118 | West Bank and Gaza | $18.8 |
#119 | 🇧🇳 Brunei | $18.5 |
#120 | 🇲🇱 Mali | $18.4 |
#121 | 🇧🇫 Burkina Faso | $18.3 |
#122 | 🇦🇱 Albania | $18.3 |
#123 | 🇧🇼 Botswana | $18.0 |
#124 | 🇲🇿 Mozambique | $17.9 |
#125 | 🇦🇲 Armenia | $17.7 |
#126 | 🇧🇯 Benin | $17.5 |
#127 | 🇲🇹 Malta | $17.2 |
#128 | 🇬🇶 Equatorial Guinea | $16.9 |
#129 | 🇱🇦 Laos | $16.3 |
#130 | 🇯🇲 Jamaica | $16.1 |
#131 | 🇲🇳 Mongolia | $15.7 |
#132 | 🇳🇮 Nicaragua | $15.7 |
#133 | 🇲🇬 Madagascar | $15.1 |
#134 | 🇬🇾 Guyana | $14.8 |
#135 | 🇳🇪 Niger | $14.6 |
#136 | 🇨🇬 Republic of Congo | $14.5 |
#137 | 🇲🇰 North Macedonia | $14.1 |
#138 | 🇲🇩 Moldova | $14.0 |
#139 | 🇹🇩 Chad | $12.9 |
#140 | 🇧🇸 The Bahamas | $12.7 |
#141 | 🇳🇦 Namibia | $12.5 |
#142 | 🇷🇼 Rwanda | $12.1 |
#143 | 🇲🇼 Malawi | $11.6 |
#144 | 🇲🇺 Mauritius | $11.5 |
#145 | 🇲🇷 Mauritania | $10.1 |
#146 | 🇹🇯 Tajikistan | $10.0 |
#147 | 🇰🇬 Kyrgyzstan | $9.8 |
#148 | 🇽🇰 Kosovo | $9.2 |
#149 | 🇸🇴 Somalia | $8.4 |
#150 | 🇹🇬 Togo | $8.4 |
#151 | 🇲🇪 Montenegro | $6.1 |
#152 | 🇲🇻 Maldives | $5.9 |
#153 | 🇧🇧 Barbados | $5.8 |
#154 | 🇫🇯 Fiji | $4.9 |
#155 | 🇸🇸 South Sudan | $4.8 |
#156 | 🇸🇿 Eswatini | $4.7 |
#157 | 🇸🇱 Sierra Leone | $4.1 |
#158 | 🇱🇷 Liberia | $3.9 |
#159 | 🇩🇯 Djibouti | $3.7 |
#160 | 🇧🇮 Burundi | $3.7 |
#161 | 🇦🇼 Aruba | $3.5 |
#162 | 🇦🇩 Andorra | $3.3 |
#163 | 🇸🇷 Suriname | $3.0 |
#164 | 🇧🇹 Bhutan | $2.7 |
#165 | 🇧🇿 Belize | $2.7 |
#166 | 🇱🇸 Lesotho | $2.5 |
#167 | 🇨🇫 Central African Republic | $2.5 |
#168 | 🇹🇱 Timor-Leste | $2.4 |
#169 | 🇪🇷 Eritrea | $2.4 |
#170 | 🇬🇲 The Gambia | $2.1 |
#171 | 🇨🇻 Cabo Verde | $2.1 |
#172 | 🇸🇨 Seychelles | $2.0 |
#173 | 🇱🇨 St. Lucia | $2.0 |
#174 | 🇦🇬 Antigua and Barbuda | $1.7 |
#175 | 🇬🇼 Guinea-Bissau | $1.6 |
#176 | 🇸🇲 San Marino | $1.6 |
#177 | 🇸🇧 Solomon Islands | $1.6 |
#178 | 🇰🇲 Comoros | $1.2 |
#179 | 🇬🇩 Grenada | $1.2 |
#180 | 🇰🇳 St. Kitts and Nevis | $1.1 |
#181 | 🇻🇺 Vanuatu | $1.0 |
#182 | 🇻🇨 St. Vincent and the Grenadines | $1.0 |
#183 | 🇼🇸 Samoa | $0.83 |
#184 | 🇩🇲 Dominica | $0.60 |
#185 | 🇸🇹 São Tomé and Príncipe | $0.51 |
#186 | 🇹🇴 Tonga | $0.50 |
#187 | 🇫🇲 Micronesia | $0.43 |
#188 | 🇲🇭 Marshall Islands | $0.27 |
#189 | 🇵🇼 Palau | $0.23 |
#190 | 🇰🇮 Kiribati | $0.21 |
#191 | 🇳🇷 Nauru | $0.13 |
#192 | 🇹🇻 Tuvalu | $0.06 |
#193 | 🇺🇦 Ukraine | Data not available |
Total World GDP | $101,559.3 |
Just five countries make up more than half of the world’s entire GDP in 2022: the U.S., China, Japan, India, and Germany. Interestingly, India replaced the UK this year as a top five economy.
Adding on another five countries (the top 10) makes up 66% of the global economy, and the top 25 countries comprise 84% of global GDP.
The World’s Smallest Economies
The rest of the world — the remaining 167 nations — make up 16% of global GDP. Many of the smallest economies are islands located in Oceania.
Here’s a look at the 20 smallest economies in the world:
Country | GDP (Billions, USD) |
---|---|
🇹🇻 Tuvalu | $0.06 |
🇳🇷 Nauru | $0.13 |
🇰🇮 Kiribati | $0.21 |
🇵🇼 Palau | $0.23 |
🇲🇭 Marshall Islands | $0.27 |
🇫🇲 Micronesia | $0.43 |
🇹🇴 Tonga | $0.50 |
🇸🇹 São Tomé and Príncipe | $0.51 |
🇩🇲 Dominica | $0.60 |
🇼🇸 Samoa | $0.83 |
🇻🇨 St. Vincent and the Grenadines | $0.95 |
🇻🇺 Vanuatu | $0.98 |
🇰🇳 St. Kitts and Nevis | $1.12 |
🇬🇩 Grenada | $1.19 |
🇰🇲 Comoros | $1.24 |
🇸🇧 Solomon Islands | $1.60 |
🇸🇲 San Marino | $1.62 |
🇬🇼 Guinea-Bissau | $1.62 |
🇦🇬 Antigua and Barbuda | $1.69 |
🇱🇨 St. Lucia | $1.97 |
Tuvalu has the smallest GDP of any country at just $64 million. Tuvalu is one of a dozen nations with a GDP of less than one billion dollars.
The Global Economy in 2023
Heading into 2023, there is much economic uncertainty. Many experts are anticipating a brief recession, although opinions differ on the definition of “brief”.
Some experts believe that China will buck the trend of economic downturn. If this prediction comes true, the country could own an even larger slice of the global GDP pie in the near future.
See what hundreds of experts are predicting for 2023 with our Global Forecast Series.
Where does this data come from?
Source: IMF (International Monetary Fund)
Data note: Due to conflict and other issues, some countries are not included in this data set (e.g. Ukraine, Syria, Afghanistan). Major sources for GDP data differ widely on the size of Iran’s economy. It’s worth noting that this data from IMF ranks Iran’s GDP much higher than World Bank or the UN.
Markets
Recession Risk: Which Sectors are Least Vulnerable?
We show the sectors with the lowest exposure to recession risk—and the factors that drive their performance.

Recession Risk: Which Sectors are Least Vulnerable?
This was originally posted on Advisor Channel. Sign up to the free mailing list to get beautiful visualizations on financial markets that help advisors and their clients.
In the context of a potential recession, some sectors may be in better shape than others.
They share several fundamental qualities, including:
- Less cyclical exposure
- Lower rate sensitivity
- Higher cash levels
- Lower capital expenditures
With this in mind, the above chart looks at the sectors most resilient to recession risk and rising costs, using data from Allianz Trade.
Recession Risk, by Sector
As slower growth and rising rates put pressure on corporate margins and the cost of capital, we can see in the table below that this has impacted some sectors more than others in the last year:
Sector | Margin (p.p. change) |
---|---|
🛒 Retail | -0.3 |
📝 Paper | -0.8 |
🏡 Household Equipment | -0.9 |
🚜 Agrifood | -0.9 |
⛏️ Metals | -0.9 |
🚗 Automotive Manufacturers | -1.1 |
🏭 Machinery & Equipment | -1.1 |
🧪 Chemicals | -1.2 |
🏥 Pharmaceuticals | -1.8 |
🖥️ Computers & Telecom | -2.0 |
👷 Construction | -5.7 |
*Percentage point changes 2021- 2022.
Generally speaking, the retail sector has been shielded from recession risk and higher prices. In 2023, accelerated consumer spending and a strong labor market has supported retail sales, which have trended higher since 2021. Consumer spending makes up roughly two-thirds of the U.S. economy.
Sectors including chemicals and pharmaceuticals have traditionally been more resistant to market turbulence, but have fared worse than others more recently.
In theory, sectors including construction, metals, and automotives are often rate-sensitive and have high capital expenditures. Yet, what we have seen in the last year is that many of these sectors have been able to withstand margin pressures fairly well in spite of tightening credit conditions as seen in the table above.
What to Watch: Corporate Margins in Perspective
One salient feature of the current market environment is that corporate profit margins have approached historic highs.
As the above chart shows, after-tax profit margins for non-financial corporations hovered over 14% in 2022, the highest post-WWII. In fact, this trend has been increasing over the past two decades.
According to a recent paper, firms have used their market power to increase prices. As a result, this offset margin pressures, even as sales volume declined.
Overall, we can see that corporate profit margins are higher than pre-pandemic levels. Sectors focused on essential goods to the consumer were able to make price hikes as consumers purchased familiar brands and products.
Adding to stronger margins were demand shocks that stemmed from supply chain disruptions. The auto sector, for example, saw companies raise prices without the fear of diminishing market share. All of these factors have likely built up a buffer to help reduce future recession risk.
Sector Fundamentals Looking Ahead
How are corporate metrics looking in 2023?
In the first quarter of 2023, S&P 500 earnings fell almost 4%. It was the second consecutive quarter of declining earnings for the index. Despite slower growth, the S&P 500 is up roughly 15% from lows seen in October.
Yet according to an April survey from the Bank of America, global fund managers are overwhelmingly bearish, highlighting contradictions in the market.
For health care and utilities sectors, the vast majority of companies in the index are beating revenue estimates in 2023. Over the last 30 years, these defensive sectors have also tended to outperform other sectors during a downturn, along with consumer staples. Investors seek them out due to their strong balance sheets and profitability during market stress.
S&P 500 Sector | Percent of Companies With Revenues Above Estimates (Q1 2023) |
---|---|
Health Care | 90% |
Utilities | 88% |
Consumer Discretionary | 81% |
Real Estate | 81% |
Information Technology | 78% |
Industrials | 78% |
Consumer Staples | 74% |
Energy | 70% |
Financials | 65% |
Communication Services | 58% |
Materials | 31% |
Source: Factset
Cyclical sectors, such as financials and industrials tend to perform worse. We can see this today with turmoil in the banking system, as bank stocks remain sensitive to interest rate hikes. Making matters worse, the spillover from rising rates may still take time to materialize.
Defensive sectors like health care, staples, and utilities could be less vulnerable to recession risk. Lower correlation to economic cycles, lower rate-sensitivity, higher cash buffers, and lower capital expenditures are all key factors that support their resilience.
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