The Sahm Rule was triggered in July, but it may be overstating U.S. recession risk due to today's unique job market dynamics.
Since 2019, low-paid workers' real income spiked more than the last 40 years combined. Here are real wages over time, by income group.
Today, 30.6 million Americans are low-wage workers. In this graphic, we show the share of the workforce earning under $17 an hour, by state.
Will global GDP growth continue to be resilient in 2024? This graphic shows the economic outlook for 191 economies around the world.
In this graphic, we show the probability of a U.S. recession in 2024, based on forecasts from Wall Street, Main Street, and the C-Suite.
