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Which Companies Belong to the Elite Trillion-Dollar Club?

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trillion dollar market cap club oct 2021

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Which Companies Belong to the Elite Trillion-Dollar Club?

Just a handful of publicly-traded companies have managed to achieve $1 trillion or more in market capitalization—only seven, to be precise.

We pull data from Companies Market Cap to find out which familiar names are breaking the 13-digit barrier—and who else is waiting in the wings.

The Major Players in the Game

Apple, Microsoft, and Saudi Aramco are the three companies to have shattered the $2T market cap milestone to date, leaving others in the dust. Apple was also the first among its Big Tech peers to ascend to the $1 trillion landmark back in 2018.

CompanyValuationCountryAge of company
Apple$2.46T🇺🇸 U.S.45 years (Founded 1976)
Microsoft$2.31T🇺🇸 U.S.46 years (Founded 1975)
Saudi Aramco$2.00T🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia88 years (Founded 1933)
Alphabet (Google)$1.84T🇺🇸 U.S.23 years (Founded 1998)
Amazon$1.68T🇺🇸 U.S.27 years (Founded 1994)
Tesla$1.01T🇺🇸 U.S.18 years (Founded 2003)

Footnote: Data is current as of October 25, 2021. Facebook is the 7th company historically to reach $1 trillion, but dipped out recently.

The largest oil and gas giant—Saudi Aramco is the only non-American company to make the trillion-dollar club. This makes it a notable outlier, as American companies typically dominate the leaderboard of the biggest corporations around the world.

Tesla Reaches $1 Trillion

Tesla reached the $1 trillion market cap for the first time due to a strong trading day on Monday October 25th. Their shares popped some 10%, off the announcement of some positive news from Hertz and Morgan Stanley.

First, Hertz, a car rental company, revealed an order for 100,000 Tesla vehicles — the largest order in the automaker’s history. Second, an auto analyst at Morgan Stanley made revisions and raised his price target on Tesla to $1,200.

Whether Tesla can stay a trillion dollar company will likely be a much discussed topic after today, as their valuation has always been a controversial one. Bearish investors frequently point to Tesla’s lack of fundamentals relative to traditional car companies. For instance, their market cap relative to cars sold:

CompanyMarket Cap ($B)Cars Sold (2020)

Value Per Car Sold

If Valued Like Tesla

Tesla$1,000500,000$2 million$1.0 Trillion
Volkswagen$1489.3 million$15,000$18.6 trillion
Toyota$2429.5 million$25,000$19.0 trillion
Ford $624.2 million$14,000$8.4 trillion

Based on the 500,000 cars Tesla sold in 2020, their $1 trillion market cap values them at $2 million per car sold. As an extreme example, if Volkswagen and Toyota were to be valued in a similar fashion, their market caps would be close to $19 trillion each. Larger than all of the elite trillion-dollar club combined.

Who Else Might Join the Trillion-Dollar Club?

Companies with a market capitalization above $500 billion are also few and far between. After Facebook, which until recently was part of the elite trillion-dollar club, Warren Buffet’s Berkshire Hathaway is the closest to joining the Four Comma Club. Though there’s still some ways to go, their market cap of $656 billion means shares would need to appreciate some 52%.

CompanyValuationCountryAge of company
Facebook$926B🇺🇸 U.S.17 years (Founded 2004)
Berkshire Hathaway$656B🇺🇸 U.S.182 years (Founded 1839)
TSMC$619B🇹🇼 Taiwan34 years (Founded 1987)
Tencent$589B🇨🇳 China23 years (Founded 1998)
Visa$497B🇺🇸 U.S.63 years (Founded 1958)

Visa, one of the pioneers of consumer credit in the United States, continues to innovate even 63 years after its founding. In attempts to expand the reach of its already massive payments ecosystem, Visa is experimenting with acquisitions, and even dipping its toes into cryptocurrency with some success.

Whether the next company to join the trillion-dollar club comes from the U.S., from the tech industry, or out of left field, it’s clear that it has some pretty big shoes to fill.

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Technology

Just 20 Stocks Have Driven S&P 500 Returns So Far in 2023

From Apple to NVIDIA, megacap stocks are fueling S&P 500 returns. The majority of these firms are also investing heavily in AI.

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Just 20 Stocks Have Driven Most of S&P 500 Returns

Just 20 firms—mainly AI-related stocks—are propping up the S&P 500 and driving it into positive territory, signaling growing risk in the market.

The above graphic from Truman Du shows which stocks are making up the vast majority of S&P 500 returns amid AI market euphoria and broader market headwinds.

Big Tech Stock Rally

Tech and AI stocks have soared as ChatGPT became a household name in 2023.

The below table shows data from last month, highlighting that just a small collection of companies drove most of the action on the U.S. benchmark index.

Company RankNameContribution to S&P 500 ReturnAverage Weight
1Apple1.49%6.61%
2Microsoft1.15%5.72%
3NVIDIA 1.00%1.62%
4Meta0.66%1.15%
5Amazon0.51%2.56%
6Tesla0.50%1.39%
7Alphabet (Class A Shares)0.34%1.72%
8Alphabet (Class C Shares)0.31%1.53%
9Salesforce0.19%0.51%
10Advanced Micro Devices0.16%0.39%
11General Electric0.10%0.28%
12Visa0.10%1.08%
13Broadcom0.09%0.73%
14Intel0.09%0.35%
15Walt Disney0.08%0.55%
16Booking Holdings0.07%0.28%
17Exxon Mobil0.06%1.37%
18Netflix0.06%0.44%
19Oracle0.06%0.40%
20Adobe0.06%0.49%
Top 20 Companies7.05%29.17%
S&P 500*7.55%100.00%

*Based on the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF as of April 11, 2023. Source: Vanguard S&P500 ETF, Bloomberg.

Microsoft invested $10 billion into OpenAI, the creators of ChatGPT. It has also integrated generative AI into its search engine Bing. This large language model is designed specifically to make search capabilities faster, generate text, and perform other automations.

Also of interest is NVIDIA, which is the most valuable chipmaker in America. It sells $10,000 chips called A100s that allow machine learning models to run. These models perform multiple tasks simultaneously to develop neural networks and train AI systems, including OpenAI’s ChatGPT. Companies that are developing AI-related services, such as chatbots or image generation, may use up to thousands of these chips.

Despite being the world’s most valuable company and a key driver of returns, Apple is an outlier among tech giants with no major projects announced in AI (so far).

Implications of Market Divergence

The problem with the strong gains seen in a few select AI-related stocks is that it clouds wider stock market performance.

Without the AI-led rally, the S&P 500 would be returning -1.4%. as of May 17, 2023.

This form of steep divergence, known as market breadth, often signals higher risk in the market.

When more companies experience positive returns it is less risky than a small handful seeing the majority of the gains. Today market breadth is very narrow, and these companies make up over 29% of the entire index’s market capitalization.

How long AI-related firms mask the broader performance of the S&P 500 remains to be seen. A growing number of market pressures, from higher interest rates to banking uncertainty could add further challenges.

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