Economy
The Road to Recovery: Which Economies are Reopening?
The Road to Recovery: Which Economies are Reopening?
COVID-19 has brought the world to a halt—but after months of uncertainty, it seems that the situation is slowly taking a turn for the better.
Today’s chart measures the extent to which 41 major economies are reopening, by plotting two metrics for each country: the mobility rate and the COVID-19 recovery rate:
- Mobility Index
This refers to the change in activity around workplaces, subtracting activity around residences, measured as a percentage deviation from the baseline. - COVID-19 Recovery Rate
The number of recovered cases in a country is measured as the percentage of total cases.
Data for the first measure comes from Google’s COVID-19 Community Mobility Reports, which relies on aggregated, anonymous location history data from individuals. Note that China does not show up in the graphic as the government bans Google services.
COVID-19 recovery rates rely on values from CoronaTracker, using aggregated information from multiple global and governmental databases such as WHO and CDC.
Reopening Economies, One Step at a Time
In general, the higher the mobility rate, the more economic activity this signifies. In most cases, mobility rate also correlates with a higher rate of recovered people in the population.
Here’s how these countries fare based on the above metrics.
Country | Mobility Rate | Recovery Rate | Total Cases | Total Recovered |
---|---|---|---|---|
Argentina | -56% | 31.40% | 14,702 | 4,617 |
Australia | -41% | 92.03% | 7,150 | 6,580 |
Austria | -100% | 91.93% | 16,628 | 15,286 |
Belgium | -105% | 26.92% | 57,849 | 15,572 |
Brazil | -48% | 44.02% | 438,812 | 193,181 |
Canada | -67% | 52.91% | 88,512 | 46,831 |
Chile | -110% | 41.58% | 86,943 | 36,150 |
Colombia | -73% | 26.28% | 25,366 | 6,665 |
Czechia | -29% | 70.68% | 9,140 | 6,460 |
Denmark | -93% | 88.43% | 11,512 | 10,180 |
Finland | -93% | 81.57% | 6,743 | 5,500 |
France | -100% | 36.08% | 186,238 | 67,191 |
Germany | -99% | 89.45% | 182,452 | 163,200 |
Greece | -32% | 47.28% | 2,906 | 1,374 |
Hong Kong | -10% | 97.00% | 1,067 | 1,035 |
Hungary | -49% | 52.31% | 3,816 | 1,996 |
India | -65% | 42.88% | 165,386 | 70,920 |
Indonesia | -77% | 25.43% | 24,538 | 6,240 |
Ireland | -79% | 88.92% | 24,841 | 22,089 |
Israel | -31% | 87.00% | 16,872 | 14,679 |
Italy | -52% | 64.99% | 231,732 | 150,604 |
Japan | -33% | 84.80% | 16,683 | 14,147 |
Malaysia | -53% | 80.86% | 7,629 | 6,169 |
Mexico | -69% | 69.70% | 78,023 | 54,383 |
Netherlands | -97% | 0.01% | 45,950 | 3 |
New Zealand | -21% | 98.01% | 1,504 | 1,474 |
Norway | -100% | 91.87% | 8,411 | 7,727 |
Philippines | -87% | 23.08% | 15,588 | 3,598 |
Poland | -36% | 46.27% | 22,825 | 10,560 |
Portugal | -65% | 58.99% | 31,596 | 18,637 |
Singapore | -105% | 55.02% | 33,249 | 18,294 |
South Africa | -74% | 52.44% | 27,403 | 14,370 |
South Korea | -4% | 91.15% | 11,344 | 10,340 |
Spain | -67% | 69.11% | 284,986 | 196,958 |
Sweden | -93% | 13.91% | 35,727 | 4,971 |
Switzerland | -101% | 91.90% | 30,796 | 28,300 |
Taiwan | 4% | 95.24% | 441 | 420 |
Thailand | -36% | 96.08% | 3,065 | 2,945 |
U.S. | -56% | 28.20% | 1,768,346 | 498,720 |
United Kingdom | -82% | 0.05% | 269,127 | 135 |
Vietnam | 15% | 85.02% | 327 | 278 |
Mobility data as of May 21, 2020 (Latest available). COVID-19 case data as of May 29, 2020.
In the main scatterplot visualization, we’ve taken things a step further, assigning these countries into four distinct quadrants:
1. High Mobility, High Recovery
High recovery rates are resulting in lifted restrictions for countries in this quadrant, and people are steadily returning to work.
New Zealand has earned praise for its early and effective pandemic response, allowing it to curtail the total number of cases. This has resulted in a 98% recovery rate, the highest of all countries. After almost 50 days of lockdown, the government is recommending a flexible four-day work week to boost the economy back up.
2. High Mobility, Low Recovery
Despite low COVID-19 related recoveries, mobility rates of countries in this quadrant remain higher than average. Some countries have loosened lockdown measures, while others did not have strict measures in place to begin with.
Brazil is an interesting case study to consider here. After deferring lockdown decisions to state and local levels, the country is now averaging the highest number of daily cases out of any country. On May 28th, for example, the country had 24,151 new cases and 1,067 new deaths.
3. Low Mobility, High Recovery
Countries in this quadrant are playing it safe, and holding off on reopening their economies until the population has fully recovered.
Italy, the once-epicenter for the crisis in Europe is understandably wary of cases rising back up to critical levels. As a result, it has opted to keep its activity to a minimum to try and boost the 65% recovery rate, even as it slowly emerges from over 10 weeks of lockdown.
4. Low Mobility, Low Recovery
Last but not least, people in these countries are cautiously remaining indoors as their governments continue to work on crisis response.
With a low 0.05% recovery rate, the United Kingdom has no immediate plans to reopen. A two-week lag time in reporting discharged patients from NHS services may also be contributing to this low number. Although new cases are leveling off, the country has the highest coronavirus-caused death toll across Europe.
The U.S. also sits in this quadrant with over 1.7 million cases and counting. Recently, some states have opted to ease restrictions on social and business activity, which could potentially result in case numbers climbing back up.
Over in Sweden, a controversial herd immunity strategy meant that the country continued business as usual amid the rest of Europe’s heightened regulations. Sweden’s COVID-19 recovery rate sits at only 13.9%, and the country’s -93% mobility rate implies that people have been taking their own precautions.
COVID-19’s Impact on the Future
It’s important to note that a “second wave” of new cases could upend plans to reopen economies. As countries reckon with these competing risks of health and economic activity, there is no clear answer around the right path to take.
COVID-19 is a catalyst for an entirely different future, but interestingly, it’s one that has been in the works for a while.
Without being melodramatic, COVID-19 is like the last nail in the coffin of globalization…The 2008-2009 crisis gave globalization a big hit, as did Brexit, as did the U.S.-China trade war, but COVID is taking it to a new level.
—Carmen Reinhart, incoming Chief Economist for the World Bank
Will there be any chance of returning to “normal” as we know it?
Markets
Mapped: The State of Economic Freedom in 2023
How free are people to control their own labor, property, and finances? This map reveals the state of economic freedom globally.

Mapped: The State of Economic Freedom in 2023
The concept of economic freedom serves as a vital framework for evaluating the extent to which individuals and businesses have the freedom to make economic decisions. In countries with low economic freedom, governments exert coercion and constraints on liberties, restricting choice for individuals and businesses, which can ultimately hinder prosperity.
The map above uses the annual Index of Economic Freedom from the Heritage Foundation to showcase the level of economic freedom in every country worldwide on a scale of 0-100, looking at factors like property rights, tax burdens, labor freedom, and so on.
The ranking categorizing scores of 80+ as free economies, 70-79.9 as mostly free, 60-69.9 as moderately free, 50-59.9 as mostly unfree, and 0-49.9 as repressed.
Measuring Economic Freedom
This ranking uses four broad categories with three key indicators each, both qualitative and quantitative, to measure economic freedom.
- Rule of law: property rights, judicial effectiveness, government integrity
- Size of government: tax burdens, fiscal health, government spending
- Regulatory efficiency: labor freedom, monetary freedom, business freedom
- Open markets: financial freedom, trade freedom, investment freedom
The 12 indicators are weighted equally and scored from 0-100. The overall score is then determined from the average of the 12 indicators.
Here’s a closer look at every country’s score:
Rank | Country | 2023 Score |
---|---|---|
#1 | 🇸🇬 Singapore | 83.9 |
#2 | 🇨🇭 Switzerland | 83.8 |
#3 | 🇮🇪 Ireland | 82.0 |
#4 | 🇹🇼 Taiwan | 80.7 |
#5 | 🇳🇿 New Zealand | 78.9 |
#6 | 🇪🇪 Estonia | 78.6 |
#7 | 🇱🇺 Luxembourg | 78.4 |
#8 | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | 78.0 |
#9 | 🇩🇰 Denmark | 77.6 |
#10 | 🇸🇪 Sweden | 77.5 |
#11 | 🇫🇮 Finland | 77.1 |
#12 | 🇳🇴 Norway | 76.9 |
#13 | 🇦🇺 Australia | 74.8 |
#14 | 🇩🇪 Germany | 73.7 |
#15 | 🇰🇷 South Korea | 73.7 |
#16 | 🇨🇦 Canada | 73.7 |
#17 | 🇱🇻 Latvia | 72.8 |
#18 | 🇨🇾 Cyprus | 72.3 |
#19 | 🇮🇸 Iceland | 72.2 |
#20 | 🇱🇹 Lithuania | 72.2 |
#21 | 🇨🇿 Czechia | 71.9 |
#22 | 🇨🇱 Chile | 71.1 |
#23 | 🇦🇹 Austria | 71.1 |
#24 | 🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates | 70.9 |
#25 | 🇺🇸 United States | 70.6 |
#26 | 🇲🇺 Mauritius | 70.6 |
#27 | 🇺🇾 Uruguay | 70.2 |
#28 | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | 69.9 |
#29 | 🇧🇧 Barbados | 69.8 |
#30 | 🇵🇹 Portugal | 69.5 |
#31 | 🇯🇵 Japan | 69.3 |
#32 | 🇧🇬 Bulgaria | 69.3 |
#33 | 🇸🇰 Slovakia | 69.0 |
#34 | 🇮🇱 Israel | 68.9 |
#35 | 🇬🇪 Georgia | 68.7 |
#36 | 🇶🇦 Qatar | 68.6 |
#37 | 🇸🇮 Slovenia | 68.5 |
#38 | 🇼🇸 Samoa | 68.3 |
#39 | 🇯🇲 Jamaica | 68.1 |
#40 | 🇵🇱 Poland | 67.7 |
#41 | 🇲🇹 Malta | 67.5 |
#42 | 🇲🇾 Malaysia | 67.3 |
#43 | 🇧🇪 Belgium | 67.1 |
#44 | 🇵🇪 Peru | 66.5 |
#45 | 🇨🇷 Costa Rica | 66.5 |
#46 | 🇭🇷 Croatia | 66.4 |
#47 | 🇨🇻 Cabo Verde | 65.8 |
#48 | 🇧🇳 Brunei Darussalam | 65.7 |
#49 | 🇦🇱 Albania | 65.3 |
#50 | 🇦🇲 Armenia | 65.1 |
#51 | 🇪🇸 Spain | 65.0 |
#52 | 🇧🇼 Botswana | 64.9 |
#53 | 🇷🇴 Romania | 64.5 |
#54 | 🇭🇺 Hungary | 64.1 |
#55 | 🇵🇦 Panama | 63.8 |
#56 | 🇲🇰 North Macedonia | 63.7 |
#57 | 🇫🇷 France | 63.6 |
#58 | 🇷🇸 Serbia | 63.5 |
#59 | 🇻🇨 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 63.5 |
#60 | 🇮🇩 Indonesia | 63.5 |
#61 | 🇲🇽 Mexico | 63.2 |
#62 | 🇨🇴 Colombia | 63.1 |
#63 | 🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina | 62.9 |
#64 | 🇬🇹 Guatemala | 62.7 |
#65 | 🇩🇴 Dominican Republic | 62.6 |
#66 | 🇧🇸 The Bahamas | 62.6 |
#67 | 🇫🇲 Micronesia | 62.6 |
#68 | 🇧🇭 Bahrain | 62.5 |
#69 | 🇮🇹 Italy | 62.3 |
#70 | 🇻🇺 Vanuatu | 62.1 |
#71 | 🇰🇿 Kazakhstan | 62.1 |
#72 | 🇻🇳 Vietnam | 61.8 |
#73 | 🇲🇳 Mongolia | 61.7 |
#74 | 🇸🇹 São Tomé and Príncipe | 61.5 |
#75 | 🇦🇿 Azerbaijan | 61.4 |
#76 | 🇵🇾 Paraguay | 61.0 |
#77 | 🇲🇪 Montenegro | 60.9 |
#78 | 🇽🇰 Kosovo | 60.7 |
#79 | 🇱🇨 Saint Lucia | 60.7 |
#80 | 🇹🇭 Thailand | 60.6 |
#81 | 🇨🇮 Côte d'Ivoire | 60.4 |
#82 | 🇹🇴 Tonga | 60.0 |
#83 | 🇹🇿 Tanzania | 60.0 |
#84 | 🇧🇯 Benin | 59.8 |
#85 | 🇧🇿 Belize | 59.8 |
#86 | 🇩🇲 Dominica | 59.7 |
#87 | 🇸🇨 Seychelles | 59.5 |
#88 | 🇹🇹 Trinidad and Tobago | 59.5 |
#89 | 🇵🇭 Philippines | 59.3 |
#90 | 🇧🇹 Bhutan | 59.0 |
#91 | 🇲🇬 Madagascar | 58.9 |
#92 | 🇰🇮 Kiribati | 58.8 |
#93 | 🇯🇴 Jordan | 58.8 |
#94 | 🇭🇳 Honduras | 58.7 |
#95 | 🇴🇲 Oman | 58.5 |
#96 | 🇲🇩 Moldova | 58.5 |
#97 | 🇲🇦 Morocco | 58.4 |
#98 | 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia | 58.3 |
#99 | 🇬🇭 Ghana | 58.0 |
#100 | 🇫🇯 Fiji | 58.0 |
#101 | 🇬🇲 The Gambia | 57.9 |
#102 | 🇳🇦 Namibia | 57.7 |
#103 | 🇸🇳 Senegal | 57.7 |
#104 | 🇹🇷 Türkiye | 56.9 |
#105 | 🇬🇾 Guyana | 56.9 |
#106 | 🇬🇷 Greece | 56.9 |
#107 | 🇸🇧 Solomon Islands | 56.9 |
#108 | 🇰🇼 Kuwait | 56.7 |
#109 | 🇺🇿 Uzbekistan | 56.5 |
#110 | 🇰🇭 Cambodia | 56.5 |
#111 | 🇧🇫 Burkina Faso | 56.2 |
#112 | 🇬🇦 Gabon | 56.1 |
#113 | 🇩🇯 Djibouti | 56.1 |
#114 | 🇸🇻 El Salvador | 56.0 |
#115 | 🇰🇬 Kyrgyzstan | 55.8 |
#116 | 🇿🇦 South Africa | 55.7 |
#117 | 🇲🇷 Mauritania | 55.3 |
#118 | 🇹🇬 Togo | 55.3 |
#119 | 🇪🇨 Ecuador | 55.0 |
#120 | 🇸🇿 Eswatini | 54.9 |
#121 | 🇳🇮 Nicaragua | 54.9 |
#122 | 🇲🇱 Mali | 54.5 |
#123 | 🇧🇩 Bangladesh | 54.4 |
#124 | 🇳🇬 Nigeria | 53.9 |
#125 | 🇷🇺 Russia | 53.8 |
#126 | 🇳🇪 Niger | 53.7 |
#127 | 🇧🇷 Brazil | 53.5 |
#128 | 🇰🇲 Comoros | 53.5 |
#129 | 🇬🇳 Guinea | 53.2 |
#130 | 🇦🇴 Angola | 53.0 |
#131 | 🇮🇳 India | 52.9 |
#132 | 🇹🇳 Tunisia | 52.9 |
#133 | 🇲🇼 Malawi | 52.8 |
#134 | 🇲🇿 Mozambique | 52.5 |
#135 | 🇰🇪 Kenya | 52.5 |
#136 | 🇱🇰 Sri Lanka | 52.2 |
#137 | 🇷🇼 Rwanda | 52.2 |
#138 | 🇹🇩 Chad | 52.0 |
#139 | 🇨🇲 Cameroon | 51.9 |
#140 | 🇵🇬 Papua New Guinea | 51.7 |
#141 | 🇱🇸 Lesotho | 51.6 |
#142 | 🇳🇵 Nepal | 51.4 |
#143 | 🇺🇬 Uganda | 51.4 |
#144 | 🇦🇷 Argentina | 51.0 |
#145 | 🇧🇾 Belarus | 51.0 |
#146 | 🇹🇯 Tajikistan | 50.6 |
#147 | 🇱🇦 Laos | 50.3 |
#148 | 🇸🇱 Sierra Leone | 50.2 |
#149 | 🇭🇹 Haiti | 49.9 |
#150 | 🇱🇷 Liberia | 49.6 |
#151 | 🇪🇬 Egypt | 49.6 |
#152 | 🇵🇰 Pakistan | 49.4 |
#153 | 🇬🇶 Equatorial Guinea | 48.3 |
#154 | 🇨🇳 China | 48.3 |
#155 | 🇪🇹 Ethiopia | 48.3 |
#156 | 🇨🇬 Congo | 48.1 |
#157 | 🇨🇩 Democratic Republic of the Congo | 47.9 |
#158 | 🇿🇲 Zambia | 47.8 |
#159 | 🇹🇱 Timor-Leste | 47.2 |
#160 | 🇲🇻 Maldives | 46.6 |
#161 | 🇹🇲 Turkmenistan | 46.5 |
#162 | 🇲🇲 Myanmar | 46.5 |
#163 | 🇸🇷 Suriname | 46.1 |
#164 | 🇱🇧 Lebanon | 45.6 |
#165 | 🇬🇼 Guinea-Bissau | 44.6 |
#166 | 🇨🇫 Central African Republic | 43.8 |
#167 | 🇧🇴 Bolivia | 43.4 |
#168 | 🇩🇿 Algeria | 43.2 |
#169 | 🇮🇷 Iran | 42.2 |
#170 | 🇧🇮 Burundi | 41.9 |
#171 | 🇪🇷 Eritrea | 39.5 |
#172 | 🇿🇼 Zimbabwe | 39.0 |
#173 | 🇸🇩 Sudan | 32.8 |
#174 | 🇻🇪 Venezuela | 25.8 |
#175 | 🇨🇺 Cuba | 24.3 |
#176 | 🇰🇵 North Korea | 2.9 |
- | 🇮🇶 Iraq | N/A |
- | 🇱🇾 Libya | N/A |
- | 🇱🇮 Liechtenstein | N/A |
- | Afghanistan | N/A |
Only four countries in the world have a score of 80 or above, Ireland, Singapore, Switzerland, and Taiwan, categorizing them as completely free economically.
Let’s now look at things from a more regional perspective.
Europe
From a regional perspective, Europe ranks the strongest in economic freedom.
Despite being a powerhouse within Europe, Germany ranks 10th in the continent, with a score of 73.7. One of the categories Germany scored the weakest in was government spending (28.3/100). Over the last three years, government spending has averaged 49% of GDP.
Ireland ranks third globally, scoring particularly high in categories like property rights and judicial effectiveness. The country also has no minimum capital requirement—which is typically a banking regulation and corporate law issue determining how many assets an organization must hold—making it attractive for businesses to set up shop on the Emerald Isle.
Africa
Currently, Africa is the continent with the least economic freedom in the world, however, it is also the region with the highest potential for economic growth. A booming population, and thus, labor force, are promising for future innovation. In fact, it’s anticipated that Africa will see an increase of 2.5 billion people by the end of the century.
The lowest scoring country in Africa is Sudan, a country under further strain thanks to rife civil conflict. Historically, economic development has been constrained by rampant corruption and a lack of institutional capacity.
Conversely, Botswana registered the highest score on continental Africa (64.9), ranking higher than countries like France and Italy.
The Americas
In the Americas, the United States ranks 3rd regionally—25th overall—with a score of 70.6. The report attributes the categorization of U.S. as only “mostly free” to issues like inflation, increasing government debt, and unchecked deficit spending. Public debt currently sits at a figure equivalent to more than 128% of GDP.
In South America, Chile comes out on top, ranking above many other economic powerhouses like the U.S., the UK, and Japan. However, the 2021 election of a new Constitutional Assembly could risk the current economic state, as it favors a much more socialist approach to the economy.
East Asia and Oceania
China’s score is among the lowest in East Asia & Oceania, ranking 154th in the world categorizing it as a repressed economy. The ruling Chinese Communist Party routinely exercises direct control over economic activity. China’s protectionist stance towards foreign investment and a plethora of trade tariffs imposed by other nations also factor in here.
In India, where public debt is equivalent to about 84% of GDP, fiscal health is the worst-scoring category. Additionally, much of the economy remains quite informal; a large share of people work in jobs without tax slips, recorded income, or formal contracts protecting them, which challenges labor freedoms.
The Middle East and Central Asia
It may come as no surprise that the United Arab Emirates has the highest score in the Middle East. The UAE has implemented various measures and initiatives, such as tax exemptions, duty-free zones, streamlined business registration processes, and flexible regulatory frameworks to encourage entrepreneurship and foreign direct investment. As well, the top individual and corporate tax rates in the country are 0%.
Türkiye’s lowest scoring category relates to judiciary effectiveness and the rule of law. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, who has already been in power for two decades, recently won the country’s election, again cementing his authority over Turkish politics. This makes it unlikely that Türkiye’s economic freedom score will recover in the short to medium term.
Where Does This Data Come From?
Source: The Index of Economic Freedom from the Heritage Foundation
Data notes: A number of countries were not ranked due to unavailable data or other factors, like ongoing war, that made it difficult to properly assess the economy. These countries include: Ukraine, Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Liechtenstein, Somalia, Syria, and Yemen.
-
Money3 weeks ago
Ranked: The World’s Top 50 Endowment Funds
-
Green5 days ago
Ranked: The 20 Most Air-Polluted Cities on Earth
-
Debt3 weeks ago
Charting the Rise of America’s Debt Ceiling
-
Technology4 days ago
Ranked: America’s Largest Semiconductor Companies
-
Maps3 weeks ago
Ranked: The Cities with the Most Skyscrapers in 2023
-
Markets4 days ago
The Fastest Rising Asset Classes in 2023
-
Mining3 weeks ago
Ranked: The World’s Biggest Steel Producers, by Country
-
Markets3 days ago
Mapped: The State of Economic Freedom in 2023