Restaurant Stocks on the NYSE
Restaurants, arguably more than other industries, have had to adjust swiftly to a new and unrecognizable landscape during the pandemic. And the level of preparedness towards adverse and unpredictable conditions reflects in the last 12 month (LTM) stock price performance of the 18 restaurant stocks on the NYSE.
The performance for this basket of stocks ranges from a high of 90% to a low of -21%. The companies that have rewarded shareholders are at the forefront of industry trends, doubling down on a digital ecosystem through concepts like membership programs, ghost kitchens, delivery, and mobile sales.
Winners and Losers
The vast division of stock price performance has a David and Goliath component to it in that the larger companies with deeper pockets have had the ability to invest in modern initiatives.
The top five performing stocks have an average market cap of $14 billion, while the bottom five possess an average of $630 million.
|Stock||Last 12 Month Performance||Market Cap ($M)|
|Brinker International, Inc.||90.85%||$3,120|
|Shake Shack, Inc.||88.63%||$4,970|
|Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.||70.19%||$40,580|
|Yum China Holdings, Inc.||37.53%||$25,090|
|Darden Restaurants, Inc.||28.26%||$17,900|
|Flanigan's Enterprises, Inc.||16.10%||$44|
|Yum! Brands, Inc.||6.18%||$31,060|
|Biglari Holdings Inc.||2.90%||$356|
|Cannae Holdings, Inc.||-1.87%||$3,420|
|Restaurant Brands International, Inc.||-2.81%||$27,580|
|J. Alexander's Holdings, Inc.||-6.12%||$131|
|Dine Brands Global, Inc||-9.25%||$1,330|
|Biglari holdings (Class A)||-10.20%||$363|
|Drive Shack Inc.||-11.82%||$238|
|Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.||-21.23%||$1,100|
Digital Haves and Have Nots
The same types of initiatives appear to be paying off, especially for the biggest winners.
- Brinker International has exceeded expectations with its ghost kitchen virtual offering—It’s Just Wings. A ghost kitchen is a restaurant optimized strictly for delivery, with a no dine-in approach and a condensed menu, they are intended to achieve higher margins.
- Shake Shack saw 60% of shack sales go digital in Q3’20. Their digital footprint is expected to grow along with their target to open 50-60 new locations in 2021.
- Chipotle’s loyalty rewards member program reached 17 million members as of late. Furthermore, digital sales grew 177% year-over-year in their fourth quarter, and nearly 50% of revenues are now derived from digital orders.
Those in negative territory have not had the same good fortune. They tend to be sit-down establishments suffering from drastic falls in foot traffic.
Without a pre-existing digital presence to reach customers, sales run the risk of taking a nosedive. Hospitality workers are among those hardest hit by the pandemic, and a lack of demand for hospitality labor again points to the dire circumstances for some sit-down restaurants.
For the food industry, the fall in foot traffic is partially offset by the rise in food delivery. Pure play companies in the food delivery space like DoorDash and Grubhub have fared well. Grubhub reported 622,700 Daily Average Grubs (daily deliveries) in 2020, up from 492,300 from the year prior. And for Uber, growth in the delivery segment of their business has buoyed the decline in ride hailing.
With the vaccine rollouts in play, the restaurant stocks on the NYSE may get a much-needed boost. But pandemic or not, the digital trends in the restaurant space will continue to shape the industry after COVID-19 just as it has done prior.
Bitcoin is the Fastest Asset to Reach a $1 Trillion Market Cap
Bitcoin is now part of a select very few assets that hold a market cap greater than $1 trillion. How long did it take to get there?
Bitcoin is the Fastest Asset to Reach $1 Trillion
The world is moving forward at an accelerated pace. Historically, it’s taken multiple decades for companies to be worth $1 trillion. For bitcoin, it took just 12 short years to reach such a milestone.
To help put things into perspective, here’s a look at how long it took America’s biggest tech companies to reach the $1 trillion market cap.
|Asset||Time To Reach $1 Trillion||Current Market Cap|
|Microsoft||44 years||$1.9 trillion|
|Apple||42 years||$2.2 trillion|
|Amazon||24 years||$1.7 trillion|
|21 years||$1.5 trillion|
|Bitcoin||12 years||$1.1 trillion|
Market caps as of April 12, 2021
Extreme Bullish Sentiment
Bitcoin has been subject to widespread commotion in markets.
At the start of 2021, the cryptocurrency had a more modest market cap of $500 billion, but has gained more than another $500 billion since. An onslaught of headlines has contributed to extremely bullish investor sentiment, including:
1. CEOs begin to show interest
Elon Musk and Jack Dorsey have made sizable investments in bitcoin through Tesla and Square, respectively. It’s estimated the gain from Tesla’s $1.5 billion bitcoin investment was greater than the profits from the entirety of their business in 2020.
2. New ETFs on the block
Multiple Bitcoin ETFs focused were recently approved by Canadian regulators and some have already launched on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX). For many years, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) was the only readily accessible investment vehicle trading on equity markets that had exposure to BTC.
3. Financial institutions finally joining in?
Mastercard, Visa, and Bank of New York Mellon have made announcements to make it easier for customers to use cryptocurrencies.
On to the Next Trillion?
Future projections for the price of bitcoin are garnering more extreme and widening price targets.
The accelerated rate of change today has many of the Big Tech companies already inching closer to the next trillion in value. Will bitcoin follow suit?
What The Data Says About Wealth Inequality
Over the past decade, the top 1% of U.S. households’ portion of wealth has gone from 28.6% to 31.2%.
What The Data Says About Wealth Inequality
Wealth inequality has gone through peaks and troughs throughout history.
Most recently, in the decade between 2010 and 2020, the top 1% of U.S. households’ portion of wealth has gone from 28.6% to 31.2%.
However, when expressed in raw dollars, things begin to look different. Wealth during the same period for the 1% went from approximately $17.5 trillion to $35 trillion. Meanwhile, the total wealth pool rose from $60 trillion to $112 trillion.
In other words, all households by category have amassed wealth during the same period, albeit at different rates.
|Household Wealth Percentile||Annual Growth in Wealth (CAGR)|
Source: The Federal Reserve
Drivers Of Wealth Inequality
The longest bull market in history, which went from March 2009 to February 2020, has been a big driver for the recent divergence. The U.S. composition of wealth for the top 1% of households skews towards corporate equities and mutual funds, of which they collectively own $14 trillion. By contrast, the bottom 50% of households own $0.16 trillion.
It’s often said a stock market correction is long overdue. Since the top 1% of households clearly have the most skin in the game, if one were to transpire, wealth inequality would likely retract.
A Longer Term Look
Although the inequality of wealth is heavily discussed in today’s climate, the numbers have been higher before.
Wealth inequality, measured by the top 1% of U.S. households’ portion of wealth, was at its peak at the start of the 20th century. Back then, a harsh and more concrete class divide with lower rates of upward mobility were common themes.
At its peak in 1910, the top 1% of U.S. households owned well over 40% of all wealth. Major world wars and the Great Depression seemed to be catalysts against this, and the years after WWII brought about some of the lowest levels of inequality seen in the modern era.
Wealth inequality has ebbed and flowed throughout history, but it has steadily crept back up in the last few decades. Today, its adverse effects continue to garner the attention of more people—including policy makers who are facing immense pressure to find a solution.
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