Markets
Mapped: America’s $2 Trillion Economic Drop, by State and Sector
Mapped: America’s $2 Trillion Economic Drop
It only took a handful of months for the U.S. economy to reel from COVID-19’s effects.
As unemployment rates hit all-time highs and businesses scrambled to stay afloat, new data shows that current dollar GDP plummeted from nearly $21.6 trillion down to $19.5 trillion between Q1’2020 and Q2’2020 (seasonally adjusted at annual rates).
While all states experienced a decline, the effects were not distributed equally across the nation. This visualization takes a look at the latest data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, uncovering the biggest declines across states, and which industries were most affected by COVID-19 related closures and uncertainty.
Change in GDP by State and Industry
Between March-June 2020, stay-at-home orders resulted in disruptions to consumer activity, health, and the broader economy, causing U.S. GDP to fall by 31.4% from numbers posted in Q1.
The U.S. economy is the sum of its parts, with each state contributing to the total output—making the COVID-19 decline even more evident when state-by-state change in GDP is taken into consideration.
State | Real GDP Change | Biggest Industry Decline | Industry Change (p.p.) |
---|---|---|---|
Alabama | -29.6 | Durable Goods Manufacturing | -5.02 |
Alaska | -33.8 | Transport and Warehousing | -9.43 |
Arizona | -25.3 | Accommodation and Food Services | -4.2 |
Arkansas | -27.9 | Health Care and Social Assistance | -4.57 |
California | -31.5 | Accommodation and Food Services | -4.43 |
Colorado | -28.1 | Accommodation and Food Services | -3.85 |
Connecticut | -31.1 | Health Care and Social Assistance | -4.61 |
Delaware | -21.9 | Health Care and Social Assistance | -4.19 |
Florida | -30.1 | Accommodation and Food Services | -5.3 |
Georgia | -27.7 | Accommodation and Food Services | -3.43 |
Hawaii | -42.2 | Accommodation and Food Services | -18.85 |
Idaho | -32.4 | Health Care and Social Assistance | -4.49 |
Illinois | -29.7 | Accommodation and Food Services | -4.11 |
Indiana | -33.0 | Durable Goods Manufacturing | -6.74 |
Iowa | -28.2 | Durable Goods Manufacturing | -4.35 |
Kansas | -30.3 | Durable Goods Manufacturing | -4.42 |
Kentucky | -34.5 | Durable Goods Manufacturing | -5.41 |
Louisiana | -31.4 | Accommodation and Food Services | -4.72 |
Maine | -34.4 | Accommodation and Food Services | -7.09 |
Maryland | -27.7 | Health Care and Social Assistance | -4.18 |
Massachusetts | -31.6 | Health Care and Social Assistance | -4.73 |
Michigan | -37.6 | Durable Goods Manufacturing | -7.57 |
Minnesota | -31.3 | Health Care and Social Assistance | -4.55 |
Mississippi | -32.9 | Health Care and Social Assistance | -4.56 |
Missouri | -32.1 | Health Care and Social Assistance | -4.29 |
Montana | -30.8 | Health Care and Social Assistance | -5.67 |
Nebraska | -31.0 | Transport and Warehousing | -6.13 |
Nevada | -42.2 | Accommodation and Food Services | -15.62 |
New Hampshire | -36.9 | Accommodation and Food Services | -6.7 |
New Jersey | -35.6 | Health Care and Social Assistance | -5.33 |
New Mexico | -28.3 | Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction | -4.4 |
New York | -36.3 | Accommodation and Food Services | -5.97 |
North Carolina | -30.5 | Accommodation and Food Services | -4.67 |
North Dakota | -27.6 | Transport and Warehousing | -4.94 |
Ohio | -33.0 | Durable Goods Manufacturing | -4.92 |
Oklahoma | -31.1 | Transport and Warehousing | -6.22 |
Oregon | -31.9 | Accommodation and Food Services | -5.81 |
Pennsylvania | -34.0 | Health Care and Social Assistance | -5.07 |
Rhode Island | -32.4 | Health Care and Social Assistance | -5.73 |
South Carolina | -32.6 | Accommodation and Food Services | -6.16 |
South Dakota | -28.8 | Health Care and Social Assistance | -5.44 |
Tennessee | -40.4 | Health Care and Social Assistance | -6.25 |
Texas | -29.0 | Health Care and Social Assistance | -3.13 |
Utah | -22.4 | Transport and Warehousing | -3.12 |
Vermont | -38.2 | Accommodation and Food Services | -8.52 |
Virginia | -27.0 | Health Care and Social Assistance | -3.59 |
Washington | -25.5 | Accommodation and Food Services | -4.39 |
West Virginia | -29.6 | Health Care and Social Assistance | -5.48 |
Wisconsin | -32.6 | Durable Goods Manufacturing | -5.17 |
Wyoming | -32.5 | Transport and Warehousing | -7.38 |
🇺🇸 U.S. | -31.4 | Accommodation and Food Services | -4.38 |
Note: Industry changes are reported in percentage points (p.p.) of total current dollar GDP between Q1 and Q2.
A total of 18 states took the biggest hit within the Accommodation & Food Services sector, which was also the industry that suffered the most nationally, dropping by 4.38%.
Highly dependent on tourism, Hawaii bore the brunt of decline in this industry with a 18.85% drop. According to The Economic Research Organization at the University of Hawaii (UHERO), a second wave of infections and expired financial assistance were behind this contraction.
Next, the Health Care & Social Assistance sector was most impacted in 17 states between the two quarters, falling the most in Tennessee (-6.25%).
The most resilient industry amid the pandemic was Financial Services. In the state of Delaware, home to major banks such as JPMorgan Chase and Capital One, the sector actually grew by 4.47%. However, Delaware’s GDP ultimately still fell due to contractions in other sectors.
Each Industry’s Worst Performing State
Looking at it another way, the worst-performing state by industry also becomes clear when the change in percentage points (p.p.) Q1’–Q2’2020 GDP contributions are measured. Of the 21 industries profiled, Nevada shows up in the lower end of the spectrum four times.
Industry | Worst-performing state | Change (p.p.) |
---|---|---|
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting | Nebraska | -4.99% |
Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction | Wyoming | -5.76% |
Utilities | Nebraska | -0.33% |
Construction | New York | -2.02% |
Durable goods manufacturing | Michigan | -7.57% |
Nondurable goods manufacturing | Indiana | -2.65% |
Wholesale trade | New Jersey | -3.35% |
Retail trade | Nevada | -2.88% |
Transportation and warehousing | Alaska | -9.43% |
Information | California | -0.88% |
Finance and insurance | South Dakota | -1.53% |
Real estate and rental and leasing | Florida | -2.00% |
Professional, scientific, and technical services | District of Columbia | -4.46% |
Management of companies and enterprises | Nevada | -0.38% |
Administrative/ support /waste management / remediation | Nevada | -2.48% |
Educational services | Rhode Island | -1.47% |
Health care and social assistance | Tennessee | -6.25% |
Arts, entertainment, and recreation | Nevada | -4.44% |
Accommodation and food services | Hawaii | -18.85% |
Other services (ex. govt) | District of Columbia | -2.40% |
Government and government enterprises | Alaska | -4.19% |
With many U.S. business leaders expecting a second contraction to occur in the economy, will future figures reflect further declines, or will states manage to bounce back?
Markets
The Top Google Searches Related to Investing in 2022
What was on investors’ minds in 2022? Discover the top Google searches and how the dominant trends played out in portfolios.


The Top Google Searches Related to Investing in 2022
It was a turbulent year for the markets in 2022, with geopolitical conflict, rising prices, and the labor market playing key roles. Which stories captured investors’ attention the most?
This infographic from New York Life Investments outlines the top Google searches related to investing in 2022, and offers a closer look at some of the trends.
Top Google Searches: Year in Review
We picked some of the top economic and investing stories that saw peak search interest in the U.S. each month, according to Google Trends.
Month of Peak Interest | Search Term |
---|---|
January | Great Resignation |
February | Russian Stock Market |
March | Oil Price |
April | Housing Bubble |
May | Value Investing |
June | Bitcoin |
July | Recession |
August | Inflation |
September | US Dollar |
October | OPEC |
November | Layoffs |
December | Interest Rate Forecast |
Data based on exact searches in the U.S. from December 26, 2021 to December 18, 2022.
Let’s look at each quarter in more detail, to see how these top Google searches were related to activity in the economy and investors’ portfolios.
Q1 2022
The start of the year was marked by U.S. workers quitting their jobs in record numbers, and the effects of the Russia-Ukraine war. For instance, the price of crude oil skyrocketed after the war caused supply uncertainties. Early March’s peak of $125 per barrel was a 13-year high.
Date | Closing Price of WTI Crude Oil (USD/Barrel) |
---|---|
January 2, 2022 | $76 |
March 3, 2022 | $125 |
December 29, 2022 | $80 |
While crude oil lost nearly all its gains by year-end, the energy sector in general performed well. In fact, the S&P 500 Energy Index gained 57% over the year compared to the S&P 500’s 19% loss.
Q2 2022
The second quarter of 2022 saw abnormal house price growth, renewed interest in value investing, and a bitcoin crash. In particular, value investing performed much better than growth investing over the course of the year.
Index | Price Return in 2022 |
---|---|
S&P 500 Value Index | -7.4% |
S&P 500 Growth Index | -30.1% |
Value stocks have typically outperformed during periods of rising rates, and 2022 was no exception.
Q3 2022
The third quarter was defined by worries about a recession and inflation, along with interest in the rising U.S. dollar. In fact, the U.S. dollar gained against nearly every major currency.
Currency | USD Appreciation Against Currency (Dec 31 2020-Sep 30 2022) |
---|---|
Japanese Yen | 40.1% |
Chinese Yuan | 9.2% |
Euro | 25.1% |
Canadian Dollar | 7.2% |
British Pound | 22.0% |
Australian Dollar | 18.1% |
Higher interest rates made the U.S. dollar more attractive to investors, since it meant they would get a higher return on their fixed income investments.
Q4 2022
The end of the year was dominated by OPEC cutting oil production, high layoffs in the tech sector, and curiosity about the future of interest rates. The Federal Reserve’s December 2022 economic projections offer clues about the trajectory of the policy rate.
2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Longer Run | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Minimum Projection | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% |
Median Projection | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
Maximum Projection | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
The Federal Reserve expects interest rates to peak in 2023, with rates to remain elevated above pre-pandemic levels for the foreseeable future.
The Top Google Searches to Come
After a year of volatility across asset classes, economic uncertainty remains. Which themes will become investors’ top Google searches in 2023?
Find out how New York Life Investments can help you make sense of market trends.

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