Misc
Cognitive Biases: Three Common Types Illustrated
In a world of information overload, we can fall victim to all sorts of cognitive biases. Since they can lead us to generate false conclusions, it’s particularly important to understand what these biases are and how they work, as the consequences can become quite drastic.
Confirmation bias, sampling bias, and brilliance bias are three examples that can affect our ability to critically engage with information. Jono Hey of Sketchplanations walks us through these cognitive bias examples, to help us better understand how they influence our day-to-day lives.
Confirmation Bias
One of the most-commonly encountered and understood, you’re likely to have already heard about confirmation bias. This cognitive bias affects the way we test and evaluate hypotheses every day.
In simple terms, confirmation bias is the tendency to seek out or interpret evidence in such a way that supports our own strongly-held beliefs or expectations. This means that, given access to the same set of data and information, different people can come to wildly differing conclusions.
Feeding into confirmation bias can lead us to make ill-informed choices or even reinforce negative stereotypes. For this reason, it is important to remember to seek out information that both confirms and contradicts your presumptions about a certain topic.
Sampling Bias
Sampling bias is a kind of bias that allows us to come to faulty conclusions based on inaccurate sample groups or data. Generally, the cause of sample bias is in poor study design and data collection.
When polling individuals for survey questions, it is important to get a representative picture of an entire population. But this can prove surprisingly difficult when the people generating the study are also prone to human flaws, including cognitive biases.
A common example involves conducting a survey on which political party is likely to win an election. If the study is run by a professor who only polls college students, since they are around and therefore easier to collect information from, the poll will not accurately reflect the opinions of the general population.
To avoid sampling bias, it is important to randomize data collection to ensure responses are not skewed towards individuals with similar characteristics.
Brilliance Bias
Brilliance bias is another common cognitive bias that makes us more likely to think of genius as a masculine trait. This is in part due to the lack of female representation in both traditional academic and executive positions.
In fact, The Journal of Experimental Social Psychology published an in-depth study on brilliance bias in 2020. It suggests that a likely source of this bias is in the uneven distribution of men and women across careers typically associated with higher level intelligence.
While this distribution is a remnant of historical factors that limited access to education and career choices for women in the past, its presence has made us (wrongly) conclude that women are less brilliant instead. Naturally, as the cycle perpetuates the uneven distribution of women in these careers, it only reinforces this bias.
Other Cognitive Bias Examples
These few examples from Jono Hey give a good overview of some of the biases we face when trying to understand the data given to us, but they are just the tip of the iceberg.
It is important to be cognizant of these biases in an era where we are constantly engaging with information, especially if we want to combat some of the harmful consequences they entail.
This article was published as a part of Visual Capitalist's Creator Program, which features data-driven visuals from some of our favorite Creators around the world.
Misc
Explained: How Hurricane Categories Work in One Chart
The Saffir-Simpson scale measures five hurricane categories. But what do they actually mean? We break it down in one chart.
Explainer: How Hurricane Categories Work
This was originally posted on our Voronoi app. Download the app for free on iOS or Android and discover incredible data-driven charts from a variety of trusted sources.
Hurricane Milton made landfall in Florida as a Category 3 hurricane, and exited the area as a Category 1 storm. What do these hurricane categories mean?
We visualize the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, which measures maximum sustained wind speed for one minute to estimate likely property damage.
Data is sourced from the Hurricane Center at National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
Importantly it does not take into account other related weather conditions from a hurricane: storm surges (tsunami-like phenomenon of rising water), flooding, and tornadoes.
Hurricane Categories Measure Wind Speeds
At the very lowest rung, even a Category 1 storm (74-95 mph winds) can cause significant damage—broken roofs, bent gutters, snapped branches, and toppled trees, especially those with shallow roots.
As the wind speed gets higher, the damage potential worsens, as seen in the table below.
Category | Maximum Sustained Winds (1 Minute) | KMPH Equivalent | Description |
---|---|---|---|
1 | 74-95 mph | 119-153 km/h | Minor damage to homes and short term power loss |
2 | 96-110 mph | 154-177 km/h | Major roof damage to buildings and near-total power loss |
3 | 111-129 mph | 178-208 km/h | Electricity and water unavailable for up to several weeks |
4 | 130-156 mph | 209-251 km/h | Severe damage to homes, with long lasting power outages and road blockages |
5 | 157 mph or higher | 252 km/h or higher | High % of homes destroyed; area uninhabitable for weeks or months |
However, hurricanes often weaken as they approach land due to friction with the surface and reduced access to the warm ocean waters that fuel them.
For example, Hurricane Katrina strengthened into a Category 5 over the waters of the Gulf of Mexico, but reduced to a Category 3 upon landfall. And as stated above, Milton lost wind speed after it moved through the Floridian west coast.
And all of this is still measuring only wind damage. Often the majority of destruction occurs after storm surges and flooding.
In fact there has been discussion regarding a separate storm surge scale to help forecasting. However, local underwater topography has an outsized role in determining the impact of a storm surge, rendering any one scale inefficient.
Learn More on the Voronoi App
Despite being a category 3, Hurricane Katrina ranks first by the damage costs, leapfrogging other more severe storms. Check out The Costliest Hurricanes to Hit the U.S. for more information.
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