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Breaking Down the US Dollar’s Recent Bull Run

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Breaking Down the US Dollar's Recent Bull Run

Breaking Down the US Dollar’s Recent Bull Run

Over the last year, the US Dollar has had an incredible surge in value of 11%. It appreciated against all main currencies in the world in 2014.

Meanwhile, gold also actually increased in value when valued against the vast majority of world currencies but the dollar was the only currency that it could not conquer.

What is behind this surge in value for the dollar?

In our opinion, it is a very easy explanation: as investors abandon all other options, they continue to look for safe havens. With central banks such as the Swiss National Bank and the Bank of Canada making surprising interest rate or pegging decisions, everyone is looking for safety and predictability. The ECB and Bank of Japan are piling onto the problem by fighting deflation with massive quantitative easing programs.

These are also the reasons why gold has also seen a recent bounce back as well.

The question is: how long can the USD remain the safe haven of choice? With moderate economic growth still happening, investors still seem to have confidence in the United States. However, if that at all falters and economic growth slows, there will be nowhere to hide. Remember that it only takes one event to cause a ripple effect and the US Dollar bull run could be over.

To quote Mr. Warren Buffett: “Only when the tide goes out do you discover who’s been swimming naked.”

Original graphic from: Gainesville Coins

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Markets

Will Tesla Lose Its Spot in the Magnificent Seven?

We visualize the recent performance of the Magnificent Seven stocks, uncovering a clear divergence between the group’s top and bottom names.

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Will Tesla Lose Its Spot in the Magnificent Seven?

This was originally posted on our Voronoi app. Download the app for free on iOS or Android and discover incredible data-driven charts from a variety of trusted sources.

In this graphic, we visualize the year-to-date (YTD) performance of the “Magnificent Seven”, a leading group of U.S. tech stocks that gained prominence in 2023 as the replacement of FAANG stocks.

All figures are as of March 12, 2024, and are listed in the table below.

RankCompanyYTD Change (%)
1Nvidia90.8
2Meta44.3
3Amazon16.9
4Microsoft12
5Google0.2
6Apple-6.7
7Tesla-28.5

From these numbers, we can see a clear divergence in performance across the group.

Nvidia and Meta Lead

Nvidia is the main hero of this show, setting new all-time highs seemingly every week. The chipmaker is currently the world’s third most valuable company, with a valuation of around $2.2 trillion. This puts it very close to Apple, which is currently valued at $2.7 trillion.

The second best performer of the Magnificent Seven has been Meta, which recently re-entered the trillion dollar club after falling out of favor in 2022. The company saw a massive one-day gain of $197 billion on Feb 2, 2024.

Apple and Tesla in the Red

Tesla has lost over a quarter of its value YTD as EV hype continues to fizzle out. Other pure play EV stocks like Rivian and Lucid are also down significantly in 2024.

Meanwhile, Apple shares have struggled due to weakening demand for its products in China, as well as the company’s lack of progress in the artificial intelligence (AI) space.

Investors may have also been disappointed to hear that Apple’s electric car project, which started a decade ago, has been scrapped.

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