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Technology Hype Cycles

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2014 Garner Technology Hype Cycle

Technology Hype Cycles

Hype occurs in cycles. It starts with the introduction of a concept and thinking about the possibilities.The more that is possible, the higher expectations rise.

Then it’s time to take the medicine and figure out the exact reality of the situation. Often it is less than expected, and much work is still to be done to bring an idea to fruition.

Every year, Garner publishes a great resource called the Technology Hype Cycle. We did a quick re-design above. It takes all the broad concepts in technology, and plots them along a typical plot that shows expectations over time. For any retail investor looking at technology opportunities, taking this into consideration is imperative. Before proper revenue and profit generation, many deals operate on these sets of expectations.

At Visual Capitalist, we try to cover these upcoming opportunities to show investors their potential. Over the past couple of years, we’ve covered things such as Bitcoin, 3D Printing, Wearable Tech, The Internet of Things, and Graphene to keep you on the forefront of innovation.

Like the resource investment lifecycle, this hype cycle creates broad opportunities for the savvy investor. Two obvious ways to take advantage:

1) Identify a broad category of technology as it comes as an innovation trigger, and find early stage investments to ride the increasing expectations.

2) Identify companies that are on the way to successfully realizing the potential of technologies that are new but where the shine has worn off. For example: enterprise 3d printing, virtual reality, and cloud computing.

Virtual reality, as an example, was cool around 15 years ago. Now people have forgotten about it. However, there are companies that are on the verge of revolutionizing the field and it will be in the news again soon.

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Technology

Ranked: Semiconductor Companies by Industry Revenue Share

Nvidia is coming for Intel’s crown. Samsung is losing ground. AI is transforming the space. We break down revenue for semiconductor companies.

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A cropped pie chart showing the biggest semiconductor companies by the percentage share of the industry’s revenues in 2023.

Semiconductor Companies by Industry Revenue Share

This was originally posted on our Voronoi app. Download the app for free on Apple or Android and discover incredible data-driven charts from a variety of trusted sources.

Did you know that some computer chips are now retailing for the price of a new BMW?

As computers invade nearly every sphere of life, so too have the chips that power them, raising the revenues of the businesses dedicated to designing them.

But how did various chipmakers measure against each other last year?

We rank the biggest semiconductor companies by their percentage share of the industry’s revenues in 2023, using data from Omdia research.

Which Chip Company Made the Most Money in 2023?

Market leader and industry-defining veteran Intel still holds the crown for the most revenue in the sector, crossing $50 billion in 2023, or 10% of the broader industry’s topline.

All is not well at Intel, however, with the company’s stock price down over 20% year-to-date after it revealed billion-dollar losses in its foundry business.

RankCompany2023 Revenue% of Industry Revenue
1Intel$51B9.4%
2NVIDIA$49B9.0%
3Samsung
Electronics
$44B8.1%
4Qualcomm$31B5.7%
5Broadcom$28B5.2%
6SK Hynix$24B4.4%
7AMD$22B4.1%
8Apple$19B3.4%
9Infineon Tech$17B3.2%
10STMicroelectronics$17B3.2%
11Texas Instruments$17B3.1%
12Micron Technology$16B2.9%
13MediaTek$14B2.6%
14NXP$13B2.4%
15Analog Devices$12B2.2%
16Renesas Electronics
Corporation
$11B1.9%
17Sony Semiconductor
Solutions Corporation
$10B1.9%
18Microchip Technology$8B1.5%
19Onsemi$8B1.4%
20KIOXIA Corporation$7B1.3%
N/AOthers$126B23.2%
N/ATotal $545B100%

Note: Figures are rounded. Totals and percentages may not sum to 100.


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Meanwhile, Nvidia is very close to overtaking Intel, after declaring $49 billion of topline revenue for 2023. This is more than double its 2022 revenue ($21 billion), increasing its share of industry revenues to 9%.

Nvidia’s meteoric rise has gotten a huge thumbs-up from investors. It became a trillion dollar stock last year, and broke the single-day gain record for market capitalization this year.

Other chipmakers haven’t been as successful. Out of the top 20 semiconductor companies by revenue, 12 did not match their 2022 revenues, including big names like Intel, Samsung, and AMD.

The Many Different Types of Chipmakers

All of these companies may belong to the same industry, but they don’t focus on the same niche.

According to Investopedia, there are four major types of chips, depending on their functionality: microprocessors, memory chips, standard chips, and complex systems on a chip.

Nvidia’s core business was once GPUs for computers (graphics processing units), but in recent years this has drastically shifted towards microprocessors for analytics and AI.

These specialized chips seem to be where the majority of growth is occurring within the sector. For example, companies that are largely in the memory segment—Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron Technology—saw peak revenues in the mid-2010s.


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