ebc-featured

The ECB’s Big Bazookas (TLTRO & QE)

The ECB's Big Bazooka

The ECB’s Big Bazookas (TLTRO & QE)

The Eurozone is on the rocks again. In November, business activity fell to its lowest point in 16 months as the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) dropped to 51.1. The Euro is at a 27 month low against the dollar. Unemployment is stuck at 11.5%.

Making matters worse, deflation is also knocking on the door. In November, prices rose just 0.3% from the previous year, which is far below the 2% target. Nicholas Spiro, managing director of Spiro Sovereign Strategy in London, says, “the data show(s) that the Japanification of the Eurozone remains apace.”

To combat this, The European Central Bank (ECB) has decided to pull out the big guns. The first big gun, in some of the best “Fedspeak” we’ve seen yet is called Targeted Long-Term Refinancing Operations (TLTRO). Banks are able to borrow from the ECB at very low rates if the money is eventually lent to companies, and not for mortgages or buying government debt.

However, since the TLTROs started, results have not been as the ECB has hoped. This is why Mario Draghi and his counterparts have hinted at a bigger bazooka, quantitative easing (QE), over the last few weeks. Tomorrow (Dec 4th) they may decide to finally pull the trigger at the ECB meeting, but some feel that is premature.

“Much like an elementary school student putting off their weekend homework in hopes of a ‘miracle’ snow day canceling school on Monday, the ECB can still hang it’s hopes on the mid-December TLTRO auction as a possible savior,” said Matt Weller, senior technical analyst at Forex.com, in a note.

Original graphic from: Saxo Markets

subscribe_tovc2

Other VC Posts

3d-linkbtc vs banking featureA Crude Problem For Putin’s RussiaCrude Problem for Putin's Russia 

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):



Mornings are better with Visual Capitalist.coffee_email1

Thank you!
Given email address is already subscribed, thank you!
Please provide a valid email address.
Please complete the CAPTCHA.
Oops. Something went wrong. Please try again later.